Stock price when the opinion was issued
Has compounded 8x over 15 years. They make specialty hardware, growing organically and buying other distributors then adding product lines (i.e. kitchen cabinets). Just reported record profits. Stocks fell 25% last year when he bought it. Has fallen out of favour, because it is tied to housing, though sales are tied to home renovations through contractors (not hardware stores). Huge backlog for contractors and manufacturers for home renos. Very well-managed and strong balance sheet. Trades at 16x PE only. Have been buying back a lot of shares.
(Analysts’ price target is $50.00)RCH missed 4Q earnings estimates (50c vs 53c expected) and this resulted in National Bank downgrading the stock. Sales of $453M were 2% higher than expected. Margins were reduced by expansion, but this also is setting up future growth. Disappointing results, but not a disaster. 10% growth is still expected in 2024.
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Are tied to home renos and there was huge pent-up demand coming out Covid. So, RCH stocked up on inventory and gained market share. Was up 30% last year, but last week they reported lower margins that will persist given excess inventory (that will last a few quarters). So, he took some profits around $45, but will buy them back. A strong balance sheet and track record.
He recently sold it around $44, buying earlier around $35-39, because their latest results disappointed. They stocked on products post-Covid due to supply chain problems to gain market share; not a bad strategy. However, they've been stock with costly inventory, so they've had to discount that which really shrinks their margins. Well-managed and consolidate peers well. Long term you will make money, but this go sideways for a while. Zero/no organic growth. Maybe you can buy on dips, if you're long term.
Spike on the chart is quite interesting. 1-year chart shows 2 lows, the most recent one higher than the previous. So this is a place to hang your hat. Down almost 12% YOY. Today is a bad market tape, yet this stock's up. That tells you something -- either investors have nowhere else to go or there's some fundamental positive news.
Great entry point. Take a small position today, and then wait for confirmation around $36-37. Once it gets through there, could get back to $43 range.