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NVIDIA CorporationNVDACOMMENTAug 26, 2026Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 26, 2026. Market Open.
He will watch to see if the monetizing of this $1.5 trillion infrastructure will happen. It's still early innings. Some say this is like Cisco in 2000, but NVDA is a high value-added product. NVDA will maintain and increase pricing power. NVDA is the centre of the AI trade.
There's little chance their earnings will disappoint. There's a 75% chance they will meet expectations and talk about a good Q3. They could talk about their next-generation chip, too. All this could lift the stock after being sideways. A dividend won't move the needle and it's premature. From October 2022 to October 2025, NVDA rose 1,700%, but much slower in the past year. But this could be a base to accelerate again; it's trading at its 100-day moving average.
Their earnings in recent years have been spectacular, but the stock price is waiting for earnings to catch up. 60-70x PE is unsustainable. The stock has been flat in recent months, but the PE has been declining. Its forward PE is in the low-20s. Is concerned that a lot of their business in concentrated in hyperscalers like Meta and Microsoft; if they reduce their capex spend, it will impact NVDA's profits.
It's become the central bank of AI, funding a lot of startups and making agreements with different suppliers. It's being touted as a virtuous flywheel, rather than circular financing. Single-handedly dragged the entire world into the AI revolution.
Some competitors are on the scene. Still the king, tough to bet against.
Over 8 quarters, it's fallen 6 times on earnings. So, they need a blow-out quarter. Q3 guidance is critical. NVDA has telegraphed they will raise prices 15% to meet expectations.