Opinions The Panic-Proof Portfolio (Stockchase Research)
Novavax IncNVAXPAST TOP PICKSep 09, 2021
(A Top Pick Jul 22/21, Up 29.4%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with NVAX has achieved its target at $272. To be disciplined, we recommend covering half the position at this time and trailing up the stop (from $160) to $175.
$258.85
Stock price when the opinion was issued
$10.97
As of May 29, 2026. Market Open.
Pharma & Healthcare
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WEAK BUY
Eventually, a full, broad-spectrum vaccine will be in place to cover Covid. Will MRNA technology also develop drugs to tackle TV and HIV and other diseases. Novartis offers more a strong balance sheet and a just-announced $20 billion inflow, based on tuck-in acquisition. NVAX is fine, but there are better companies.
Pharma & Healthcare
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Premium contentPAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 21/21, Down 16.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with NVAX has triggered its stop at $175. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. Combined with the previous recommendation to cover half the position, this results in a net investment gain of 6%.
Pharma & Healthcare
Premium contentTOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly NVAX is applying for Emergency Use Authorization for its COVID-19 vaccine as experts believe annual boosters may be required as with the annual flu shots. It has achieved over 89% efficacy and does not require deep freeze storage -- a huge advantage. It has agreements already in place for 180 million doses in the UK, Canada, and Australia when approved. We would buy this with a stop loss at $160, looking to achieve $272 -- upside potential over 27%. Yield 0%. (Analysts’ price target is $271.75)
Pharma & Healthcare
DON'T BUY
Recently announced an effective Covid vaccine In 2019, they had less than $50 million in revenue. It was nascent and now prominent. They could participate in the booster Covid market, and they need to live up to their current market cap of $14 billion. NVAX has to vaccinate a quarter of the world's population to trade at 1x revenues. There's a lot of hope built into the shares that they succeed. He can't buy this and sleep at night.
Pharma & Healthcare
DON'T BUY
It's not worth what it's selling for, and the stock should be lower. Moderna, in contrast, has more drugs in the pipeline, and he prefers this stock.
Pharma & Healthcare
DON'T BUY
NVAX vs. PFE He'd absolutely go with PFE. Investors have been chasing growthy parts of the market and ignoring the stable areas. Vaccines don't move the needle for PFE the way they do for the others, but a great long-term investment if you think rates will stay lower. PFE is mature, decent balance sheet, good valuation.
Pharma & Healthcare
DON'T BUY
There is almost an arms race that is going on with respect to vaccine development. We need to wait to see how human testing is going to work out. There will be lots of volatility in the meantime. He is not interested in playing a specific name -- much like what happened with marijuana stocks. He would look to companies that will provide syringes instead.
Pharma & Healthcare
