Opinions
Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA
Novavax Inc
NVAX-Q
DON'T BUY
Feb 07, 2022
The variability around earnings makes it interesting to trade, but he would not recommend investing in it. Very volatile. No insight for approval. Prefers using XPI ETF to trade the sector. NVAX is not a name he owns.
$94.810
Stock price when the opinion was issued
Pharma & Healthcare
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DON'T BUY
Recently announced an effective Covid vaccine In 2019, they had less than $50 million in revenue. It was nascent and now prominent. They could participate in the booster Covid market, and they need to live up to their current market cap of $14 billion. NVAX has to vaccinate a quarter of the world's population to trade at 1x revenues. There's a lot of hope built into the shares that they succeed. He can't buy this and sleep at night.
Pharma & Healthcare
TOP PICK
Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly NVAX is applying for Emergency Use Authorization for its COVID-19 vaccine as experts believe annual boosters may be required as with the annual flu shots. It has achieved over 89% efficacy and does not require deep freeze storage -- a huge advantage. It has agreements already in place for 180 million doses in the UK, Canada, and Australia when approved. We would buy this with a stop loss at $160, looking to achieve $272 -- upside potential over 27%. Yield 0%. (Analysts’ price target is $271.75)
Pharma & Healthcare
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jul 21/21, Down 16.7%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O'Reilly Our PAST TOP PICK with NVAX has triggered its stop at $175. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. Combined with the previous recommendation to cover half the position, this results in a net investment gain of 6%.
Pharma & Healthcare
WEAK BUY
Eventually, a full, broad-spectrum vaccine will be in place to cover Covid. Will MRNA technology also develop drugs to tackle TV and HIV and other diseases. Novartis offers more a strong balance sheet and a just-announced $20 billion inflow, based on tuck-in acquisition. NVAX is fine, but there are better companies.
Pharma & Healthcare
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