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Nortel AS (NTEL.TO)

SELL
If you own it, take profits. Doesn't see a long-time future for them.
DON'T BUY
Far too expensive at 40 X estimated earnings. Would rather pay more once the earnings are there and he could see a trend. Currently it is a speculation.
DON'T BUY
His model price is $16.97. That's a negative 46% differential to the stock price.
DON'T BUY
Doing better and able to produce some financial statements that are reasonable. The announcements with Microsoft (MSFT-Q) are very positive. Microsoft's new upgrade will be very good for the stock, which will be good for Nortel. Feels the stock is expensive and is not confident on their financial statements.
DON'T BUY
Chart shows a bit of a double top. Has a kind of a failed breakout and is pulling back and consolidating right now. The bias is to the up side. From a probability standpoint, the bias is on your side if you are Long. Wait for a pullback before buying.
COMMENT
2 things to watch. Look at its price to cash flow. If it's low, it is in buying territory. 2nd, how has it been doing in price appreciation? Check this out for 3, 6 and 12 month price appreciation and if it is in the top of that category, that's the time to think about buying.
WAIT
Good news recently with the IBM (IBM-N ) announcements, which he thought was fairly strong. Turnaround has been slow. He is waiting for the next quarterly report. Expect it will have pullback before moving higher.
DON'T BUY
New management team seem to be very capable with lots of industry experience. Thinks investors are betting on the top line eventually increasing the bottom line. Hasn't got the stomach for this one.
DON'T BUY
His model price is $16.56. It is a mystery to him why it is doing so well. It's a -40 8% differential.
DON'T BUY
Doesn't meet his financial criteria. They are still losing money. Still trying to find their way in the tech world.
DON'T BUY
Not a terribly high-growth company and will have trouble maintaining its margins.
DON'T BUY
Really hasn't made any money in 5 years. Encouraged by the developments going on currently. Will take longer than most people think to turn it around.
DON'T BUY
Turnaround is taking longer than he would have anticipated. If it gets considerably cheaper, he may take another look.
HOLD
Had an important win with the Verizon contract. Has done enough study on it yet, but his instinct is, if you own, Hold. On any pullback, he could be a buyer.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jan 9/06. Up 60%.) Acquired.
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