Stockchase Opinions

Martin Hubbes, CFA Niko Resources NKO-T BUY Feb 15, 2011

Took a major dip last week, but not sure why. Long term the stock has a very interesting opportunity. Have to find more gas off the Indian coast for the stock to move forward but the probability is pretty good. Have a strong partner in Reliance Energy.
$77.190

Stock price when the opinion was issued

oil gas
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SELL

(Market Call Minute.) A darling at one time, but he would prefer other international plays.

DON'T BUY

Not that appealing. This company doesn’t tend to benefit from the 2nd period of seasonal strength for energy. Probably not something you want to pursue.

SELL

This has lower highs and lower lows. Not too much positive he can say about the stock. Stay away from this. The cyclical oriented stocks not do well specifically over the next 3 weeks.

COMMENT

They are getting further delays from the Indian government. It is pure speculation at this point.

DON'T BUY

It looks like they are starting to play with pricing in India. He would stay clear from this kind of situation.

RISKY

Always thought the risk was way too great. Huge gamble that it won’t go under.

DON'T BUY

If you want to be on one side or the other, then you should Short it and hope to buy it back for less. Doesn’t see any catalyst for growth. This company has had a lot of problems.

COMMENT

This has been a pack of cards falling through. There is kind of an option value building into this company because of its whole macroeconomic play with its geographic location close to some of the basins in India. Fundamentally the balance sheet looks really stretched. They would need a lot of help on the capital markets side in terms of financing alternatives. Trades at a Price to Book of about 6 times.

COMMENT

Has always been very skeptical about this one through the years. Right now they are in default and trying to do a deal with their creditors. Expects that shareholders will get next to nothing.

DON'T BUY

It is quite a small company. It is hugely volatile. There a lot of problems over the years with the pricing of data coming from India regarding a 10% stake in another company. They have too much debt. The price of the gas they sell has been negotiated. A tough name to predict.