Stock price when the opinion was issued
Investors did not like MOZ's revised study last year, and until recently the sector has not done much, either. The stock is down 25% YTD and 57% in 52-weeks. The recent cost update does show a slightly lower cost than last year, but of course this can change as construction continues. It now has 440 workers and is 27% complete. It remains on schedule for first gold pour in Q1 2025. There has been some minor insider buying. We consider it 'OK'. It is always hard to ascertain value when a mine is under construction. Problems can develop, and the mine has to perform to specifications. We have no specific reason to worry, but there is always risk (grades, costs, environment, inflation). We think it is a decent project, but share count has risen sharply and could still go higher. Once the mine is operational the stock should get re-rated, assuming all goes as planned.
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Merger with CXB. Could argue that this takes away the true upside of the Valentine project, which is under construction. Met a shortfall in financing to complete the mine. From CXB's view, you could argue that merger reduces risk, improves capitalization, diversifies outside Canada.