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NYSE:MCK
This summary was created by AI, based on 11 opinions in the last 12 months.
McKesson Corp (MCK-N) is recognized as the largest player in an oligopoly of pharmaceutical distributors in the U.S., commanding a remarkable 90% market share among the top three companies. The company has demonstrated a strong track record, with a total return of 17.5% per annum over the past decade, driven by a robust dividend growth rate of 15% annually and consistent buybacks of 6% per year. Despite operating on thin margins, McKesson efficiently manages costs and capitalizes on the essential nature of medicine distribution. The recent trend of shifting investments towards growthier sectors has slightly impacted the healthcare industry, but experts remain optimistic about McKesson's stability, growth potential, and the upcoming spin-off of its medical/surgical unit, which is anticipated to unlock hidden value.
Great growth stalwart and compounder. Leader in what's essentially an oligopoly. Earnings miss last quarter, margin pressure. Sales headwinds, partly due to plateauing demand for GLP-1 obesity drugs. Revenue pressure in pharmacy technology solutions.
None of that derails long-run growth thesis. Healthcare addresses a need, not a want. Demographic play. Compelling entry point. Will be higher 1 and 5 years from now, secular backdrop is just that good.
The GLP-1 weight loss companies are really in the sweet spot. For example for LLY, a very large holding for him, the opportunity for them is a very large marketplace. Getting approval for a broader range of uses.
He also owns ISRG, which will help with the cost of healthcare, a very big growth opportunity. He owns MCK too.
Those 3 names together make up a 5% weight for him, which is underweight the market.
XLV gives you a basket of names, with some winners and some losers. LLY is the top holding, that's a winner. Also holds JNJ and PFE, which haven't done particularly well.
He owns NVO, MCK and CAH. He likes those companies where the only serious competition comes from 1 or 2 others, as they can control pricing power. Diabetes and weight loss are definite growth areas. See his Top Picks.
Leader, controls 1/3 of the industry. Virtual triopoly gives them leverage and predictable cashflow. Population is aging. At least 60% of Americans use at least 1 drug, and this will increase over time. High-demand segments such as weight loss and diabetes are rising, which will increase demand for its logistics and distribution. Yield is 0.5%.
Increased share buybacks last summer. Beat top and bottom on last results. Upped guidance for 2024. Share price trending higher, above 200-day and 200-week MAs. Has beat S&P since early 2019. About 12% earnings growth rate. Classic, steady healthcare name to own.
About $305B USD expected revenue for 2024. Largest customers are CVS and WMT. Middleman between end-retail pharmacies and medical product companies. Operates in a virtual triopoloy. Long term, demographics will lead to greater spending.
Increased share buybacks. Beat topline and bottom line expectations on latest quarter, raised guidance. Chart's trending higher, it's the best. Outpacing S&P 500 since early 2019. Earnings growth rate of about 10%. Solid healthcare name. Yield is 0.5%.
Stock is not a household name, but Rexall is, which MCK just bought. Core business is wholesale drug distribution in US. Negotiates bulk drug purchases and distributes them. Low margin, but high inventory turnover, so high ROE. Stable, non-cyclical. In oligopoly with 2 others and a combined 90% market share. Non-discretionary.
Chart looks nice, undemanding multiple of 15.5x earnings. Has grown at 10% compound rate over the last decade, well positioned to continue this. Yield is 0.5%.
Global leader. Operates in a virtual tri-opoly. Significant leverage in negotiating supply, which gives predictable cashflow. Aging population will increase volumes. Almost 60% of all Americans use at least 1 prescription drug, expected to rise. Increased demand for diabetes and weigh-loss drugs.
Beat on top and bottom lines, increased guidance. Share price above rising moving averages. Outperforming broader index. Forecast 10% earnings growth going forward. Yield is 0.55%.
Just below 200-day MA. One of 3 members of an oligopoly, which together control 90% of the business out there. Steady earnings, decent valuation. 15-16x forward PE, steady 11-12% growth rate. Value here, even though it's a growth name. As people age, volume of drugs required can only increase, benefiting a name like this.
He also owns CAH.