Opinions
Stan Wong
McKesson Corp
MCK-N
TOP PICK
May 02, 2024
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Certainly some stocks are less vulnerable to issues involving tariffs. What comes to mind are healthcare companies. You could look at some of the beaten-down companies that really didn't do well last year, as they're doing quite well today. Try this name, which he owns.
Many attempts to lower drug prices in the US, and every one of them has failed. Very highly entrenched business to deconstruct. But stocks will rerate on the noise. So how much downside would there be to revenue?
He wouldn't buy this here. Tariffs and the drug noise have provided opportunities to expand in the healthcare space, which is very undervalued right now.
Likes the reliable earnings. Steady prescriptions, specialty therapy (increases margins). In oncology drug space, which also has good margins. Automation and AI are helping margins further. 10-12% earnings growth rate at a decent PE. Just under 70% of Americans take at least 1 prescription drug a day; 25% take 4 or more. Population aging and more complex conditions will support volume growth of prescription drugs.
You don't find a chart better than this, long-term uptrend. Ascending channel of higher highs and higher lows. Yield is 0.39%.
Leader, controls 1/3 of the industry. Virtual triopoly gives them leverage and predictable cashflow. Population is aging. At least 60% of Americans use at least 1 drug, and this will increase over time. High-demand segments such as weight loss and diabetes are rising, which will increase demand for its logistics and distribution. Yield is 0.5%.
(Analysts’ price target is $569.95)Increased share buybacks last summer. Beat top and bottom on last results. Upped guidance for 2024. Share price trending higher, above 200-day and 200-week MAs. Has beat S&P since early 2019. About 12% earnings growth rate. Classic, steady healthcare name to own.