Stock price when the opinion was issued
Doesn't own either. Kinross has historical issues trying to right the ship, doing better recently.
For ELD, a very high 60% of NAV is exposed to development risk. Recent mine is financed and built, but there's still execution risk. Trades at a discount on geopolitical risk too.
His preference is AEM, with one of the best teams and one of the best executions he's seen over the last decade.
We think K is an OK solid miner and recent quarterly results were strong. The company does have decently high debt with a net debt balance of $1.8B, but debt/equity ratio is only 0.36x which makes us less concerned. Free cash flows have been rising over the last few years and revenues have been growing quite nicely as well. We think it is still worth it to hold onto K given the company's progress in its drilling campaign and the recent strength of gold. It has had some issues in the past with mines but these have been largely cleared up. It also had some Russian exposure but these assets were sold in 2022.
Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free
Considers gold stocks as the “canary in the coal mine”. Basically all their balance sheets have been written off. They all did acquisitions at the top of the price of gold, and that went on their balance sheet. After the debacle of the share price coming back in 2013, you are now getting all the write-offs. There was a very unenthusiastic rally in the 1st quarter of this year. Now we are seeing the rollover. He is not seeing anything in his system to give you a “Buy” signal.