Opinions
Colin Stewart
Hammond Power Solutions Inc.
HPS.A-T
TOP PICK
Jun 19, 2018
Stock price when the opinion was issued
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Premium contentRecently reported earnings for HPS.A showed record margins, increased revenues and a growing order backlog. Healthcare and data centre infrastructure projects are growing well for this manufacturer of electric transformers. We like that cash reserves are growing, while debt is retired. It supports a 27% ROE. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $115) to $127 at this time, looking to achieve $166 -- upside potential of 22%. Yield 0.7%
(Analysts’ price target is $165.67)Exposed to the right verticals. One of the very few pure-plays in Canada. Management's been great. Stock has benefited from pickup in demand. But is it sustainable? Margins can't remain elevated forever. Power demand is real. Given the runup, be careful.
Hold, or reduce on strength. Better ways to get exposure.
Premium contentOur PAST TOP PICK with HPS.A has triggered its stop at $127. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. When combined with our previous guidance, this will result in a net investment gain of 21%
Still owned by founder, second generation. Has done the same thing for a long time; what changed is number of places they could sell to. Good business, but not a great price right now.
DeepSeek was like a "man overboard" moment for a stock like this, as many own it simply as a beneficiary of data centre buildout. This sentiment makes it harder for the long-term investor.
Premium contentHPS manufacturers electrical transformers such as those used in data centres with plants in Canada, the US, Mexico and India. Recently reported earnings showed record sales with 11% growth over the yar. It trades at 15x earnings, 3.5x book and supports a ROE of 26%. We recommend setting a stop-loss at $70, looking to achieve $119 -- upside potential of 28%. Yield 1.2%.
(Analysts’ price target is $160.50)Premium contentWe reiterate this electric transformer manufacturer, involved in data centre and cloud projects, as a TOP PICK. Recently reported earnings showed a 5% increase in year on year sales and a 17% increase in backlog of orders, which is great timing considering their new production factory is expected to open sooner than expected. It trades at 14x earnings, 3x book and supports a robust 31% ROE. We recommend trailing up the stop (from $70) to $80, looking to achieve $131 -- upside potential of 28%. Yield 1.1%
(Analysts’ price target is $148.25)Premium content
Make smaller-scale electric transformers, with a pretty dominant market share, and could benefit from future increased number of electric vehicle stations. Really well run, clean balance sheet, 2.5% dividend. Sell to US customers in transportation, mining, power, oil & gas, infrastructure, where their end markets are strong and should be strong for several years. Low valuation, significant insider ownership. Good cash flow, could increase dividend and increase earnings significantly. A hidden gem in a niche sector. Canadian company that benefits from strong US economy. (Analyst’s price target is unknown .)