Stockchase Opinions

Genevieve Roch-DecterHIVE Blockchain TechnologiesHIVE.TOBUY ON WEAKNESSJun 19, 2018

This was the first cryptocurrency miner to go public, via a reverse takeover. They are based in Iceland and expanding to Sweden. These are low-cost power jurisdictions, which gives HIVE an advantage. They have a great management team. The stock has been under a lot of pressure. The downside might be another 30% but long term, these are great assets to own. (Analyst’s price target is $3)

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HOLD
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy's most-liked answers from 5i Research.

EPS of $0.522 missed the $0.117 estimate, and sales of $127.86M fell short of the $132.39M forecast. Revenue surged over 200% year-over-year, while gross operating margin of 35% improved significantly from the prior year. The company mined 885 bitcoin in the quarter, up 23% sequentially, and generated $4.9M in AI revenue from its BUZZ high-performance computing services. Overall, results were respectable given weaker bitcoin prices and higher network mining difficulty compared to the previous quarter. They would be comfortable holding at current levels. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free

WATCH

Fair bit of volatility around crypto and these companies. Focus lately has been on using crypto as a treasury asset. Some of the miners have started to move in the last few weeks, probably due to crypto having a big move off the bottom. If miners can be efficient, their numbers are probably going to ramp up over the next couple of quarters.

PARTIAL BUY

Longer double bottom from 2023 to 2025. If we are starting a new cycle, it will be positive for assets across the board. Bitcoin is traditionally more of a risk-on asset. Doesn't mind nibbling here, then add exposure as it shows it's a winner and worthy of adding more capital.

TRADE

Like a Mini-Me Coinbase. He's traded this, on relatively small positions in separately managed accounts. Not in his fund. Good way to ride the wave of blockchain and cryptocurrency.

HOLD
Does not own stock of company, as unsure what cryptocurrency future is. If crypto prices remain strong, will be good for company. Hard to value company.
RISKY
Higher risk. Recently pulled back, as have all speculative names. If you have a high risk tolerance, make it a core position and trade around that. If you have a long time horizon, you can buy and hold. Longer term, he sees increased adoption and higher bitcoin prices. Short term, share prices will move around a lot.
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TOP PICK
The upshot: BITF, HUT and HIVE all outperform Bitcoin itself, but suffer more volatility than its base currency. The miners' fortunes are intrinsically tied to the fluctuations of Bitcoin. The main costs for these miners start with the capital costs (an army of supercomputers) and the real estate where they operate day and night. An ongoing cost is electricity, since these machines are energy hogs. ESG investors should investigate how much energy is derived from renewables. As for where Bitcoin is going, that's like asking where gold is heading. Both are “safe haven” investments which rally when investors feel uncertain. Having this correlation seems to be breaking down as vaccinations are pointing to reopenings around the world and will fuel economic recovery. Will Bitcoin plunge again? Buyer beware.
BUY
Blockchain ETFs? He loves block chain and has about 7% of his portfolio. He likes HIVE as they are a miner of block chain coins. Global integration is just getting going. The technology will benefit from the way global markets will go forward. Imagine if gold could have a tracking system for physical it would do wonders for the control of its movement. He thinks this will happen with block chain technology.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Apr 03/18, Down 42%) The world's biggest ethereum (cryptocurrency) miner. He's been increasing his position since December when the price was very low. Well-managed. He likes etherium and bitcoin. Blockchain is rebounding since December.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Jun 22/18, Down 31%) He still likes this. This is beautiful technology. They are actually a miner. His strategy is to have this at 2.5% of his portfolio, so has continually added as the price has come down. He has not lost faith in this, just thinks it is early.
COMMENT

Run big data centers that mine crypto currency. Its chart looks like Bitcoin. It is in a descending triangle. If it breaks below support, it would reflect badly on it.

DON'T BUY

He wouldn't touch any cryptocurrency with a barge pole. He doesn't understand this business or company. He doesn't speculate.

DON'T BUY

He is pretty skeptical on the number of companies that claim to have an advantage in this space. If the value of cryptocurrency goes down, these companies will be at risk. It has a lot of cash and is well known. It is not a real long term strategy in his mind yet.

DON'T BUY

Clearly has some problems. Slow, steady decline and volume’s dropping. Volatile stock. Be very wary. He’s not a believer of blockchain technology, it’s just a fancy database. Now a penny stock, so will be off the radar of many. If it can break above $1.70, might be more interesting.

COMMENT

Their focus is on mining, which seems profitable. The issue is blockchain is highly volatile. Ten years from now, blockchain will be revolutionary as bigger companies like Walmart delve into it. He's more focussed in the latter, the big guys, not the miners like Hive.