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Stockchase Opinions

Cameron WebsterHanfeng EvergreenHF.TOBUYMay 08, 2008

An interesting play on fertilizer. Listed in Toronto but the entire business is in China. Very interesting play and you are probably getting up at a decent discount to Agrium (AGU-T). Agrium owns a big chunk of this one.
$12.38

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WAIT
Operating results have been disappointing for the last couple of years but finally got some good numbers this last quarter. This has to continue and they need to execute on some of their project expansions. He would like to have a bit better understanding of their strategy. He would like to see at least one more quarter.
COMMENT
Fertilizer manufacturer based in China. Food inflation is quite positive for fertilizer prices. The question is, how much do you really know about what is going on with this company in China. Lack of visibility will likely restrain prices. Prefers Hemisphere GPS (HEM-T) in the agriculture space.
BUY
One of 2 major potash companies in China. Has gone through some short-term difficulties but it is 20% owned by Agrium (AGU-T), which is appealing. You should be well rewarded in 1 or 2 years. (He is looking at it.)
BUY
It was a good time to buy it before today’s 9% increase. The play is the growth in the Chinese fertilizer market. It’s an interesting company. Still a good entry point. Agrium owns 50-60% so could buy it to get into China.
BUY
Fertilizers and their market is mostly in China. Has been looking at this one and really likes it. Trading at a nice discount to its intrinsic value. Likes food and the emerging markets.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 31/07. Down 56.9%.) Thinks it is down because it is a small cap and is located in China. She has moved on to a larger cap name. Thinks this is a buying opportunity but she prefers the safety of a Large cap.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 31/07. Down 74%.) Dropped as a result of the Chinese market collapsing. She sold when the Chinese market started to fall off.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 15/07. Down 65%.) Great growth profile. Agrium (AGU-T) owns a piece of it. They don't need any money. If you own, continue to Hold but if you have a 3 year time frame, it's a Buy. Industry is fine.
COMMENT
Hanfeng Evergreen (HF-T), Hanwei Energy (HE-T) and Migao (MGO-T) are interesting plays into China. Have been crushed but give direct exposure to what he expects will be the strongest currency over the next 25 years. You are buying them with multiples of earnings (not cash flows) that are unbelievably low. Wants to look at these more closely and would be buying if he had more time.
DON'T BUY
Has a falling moving average. Needs to make a base, which it might at around $8. Not enough time has gone by yet.
PARTIAL BUY
Good play on fertilizer in China. Go in gently and try to average your entry price over time. Once the Olympic hangover is over and China goes back to work, this could be one that benefits significantly.
BUY
(Market Call Minute.) Likes it a lot.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 31/07. Down 27.5%.) In the right sector, but being affected by the Chinese market being very weak.
PARTIAL BUY
Recently announced expansion in China and in another country. Good shareholder base, great technology and fabulous management but the stock has done next to nothing. Chipping away at this.
WEAK BUY
(Market Call Minute.) Recently pulled back some so you could probably buy it.