Hudbay Minerals (HBM.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

Hudbay Minerals (HBM.TO)

37.06

-0.73 (1.93%)

as of Sep 24, 2026, 2:29:27 pm Market Open.

273 watching

HOLD

He isn't looking for buoyancy in the underlying commodity price. Losing Rosemont permit: that appeal will take a long time. Meanwhile, HBM must focus--and is--elsewhere to expand. The stock has been punished by the pullback of the Rosemont permit. Hold this for a few years and it could double. Meanwhile, wait and see.

BUY

The sector had a slight run and is now rangebound. It is now at the low end of $10. Buy it now as a trade.

DON'T BUY

A quality company but really over a decade it made nobody any money. It's tradable. It is an under-performer. He does not like it long term.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 24/18, Down 7%) If not for the delay in the Rosemount mine, this would do a lot better. Disappointing, but he's waiting--that's key. Its assets are attractive. At least it isn't operating in politically sensitive areas.

SELL

Arizona mine hung up in admin for at least another year. Copper prices rolled over. Don't want to own a marginal commodity producer admidst slowing global growth.

DON'T BUY

You have to have a strong stomach to be into mining stocks. A recession causes this sector to sold off aggressively. He does not like that fact that miners are price takers -- they have little control over revenues. He likes companies like Apple that are price makers. He predicts HBM-T share prices will be volatile, especially since we are late in the economic cycle. He would stay away.

TOP PICK

They recently had a major setback in the permitting of the Rosemont mine. At these levels this stock is down and out for the count, but they would be good long term. They are going to survive but have suffered as of late.

COMMENT

LUN vs HBM? He owns LUN-T, but not HBM-T as it has a lower beta to the market. They are good at timing their acquisitions and they know how to balance brownfield expansions, while creating cross-commodity diversification. HBM-T has gone through a proxy fight and their CEO has departed -- it is a wait and see company.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jun 26/18, Down 13%) He sold this at over $10, because it had run up so much for him and he didn't expect the China tariffs to get resolved anytime soon. Now, HBM is worth considering again as they transition to a new CEO.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick May 30/18, Down 19%) It has been up and down over the last year. It is still one of his favourite stocks within the metals and minerals. They did a great deal to clean up operations in Manitoba. There is potential for increases in cash flows down the road. He'd stick with it.

BUY

Forecasting commodities prices is very difficult. Copper in particular which is one if the main metals that this company produces has been low. If we get a soft landing then copper demand should pick up. China has been a bigger consumer and that demand is going to be there even at a lower growing pace. They are involved in many projects that will increase production in the future. The stock has been choppy as they had a sort of a Board coup with an activist investor being involved. Longer term the stock price will follow the fundamentals.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Apr 26/18, Down 25%) It was not long ago it traded $10. In the past four weeks concerns over the economy have dampened the share value. They are doing good work to run the operations. It has great torque to the commodity cycle. He would be a buyer here. Indigenous investigation is causing some worry with mine expansion plans.

COMMENT

He would prefer HBM-T. The trend is not your friend with TV-T. The danger is that it can be left for dead and continue to get cheaper without anyone stepping in. HBM-T follows the trend in copper and is trading at under book value.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

The commodity stocks as a sector are pretty reasonable. One of the catalysts you need is for the US$ to roll over and give them some breathing room. There is room for HBM-T to lift up and is one that will lift up if you get this trading thing out of the way.

TOP PICK

An unhappy investor is making things challenging in a proxy fight. Production increases will be coming over the next few years. It has been selling at a significant discount to its peers. He thinks management will win the fight. Yield 0.23%. (Analysts’ price target is $11.70)

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Hudbay Minerals (HBM.TO)