Alphabet IncGOOGBUY ON WEAKNESSNov 21, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 02, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
At the very top of the trend you have AI and the hyperscalers such as GOOG, AMZN, and MSFT. They're putting the boots to software companies. GOOG has produced a quantum computing chip, which calculates millions of times faster than AI chips.
You want to have at least one of these hyperscalers in your portfolio. If quantum computing becomes reality in the next 5-10 years, those are the names that will dominate the space.
If you're worried about the bubble bursting, then it's important to be disciplined. Buy it, and if it doubles in price you take half off the table. That protects your downside over time.