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Alphabet IncGOOGTOP PICKOct 25, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
Doing great. Worries about Search becoming obsolete were baseless, though its share of searching will fall. However, the pie will expand and so total revenue will grow. Gemini has a leadership position in AI.
Plus there's YouTube -- about 23% global streaming share and caters to shorter attention spans. Waymo also adds to this very powerful compounder.
Reported yesterday and the market sold off. To him, their sales and earnings looked pretty good, but their cloud growth slowed by 1-2%, though still very good YOY. The sell-off was wildly overdone and reflects wider market sentiment. Recently bought this. It's the #1 leader in online ads, given their search engine at 85-90% market share. Has a wide, deep moat. They also own YouTube which Gen-Z loves to watch, and owns Android, a dominant phone. Their cloud is a distant #3 player, though. Their leading position in gen-AI is a kicker. Have earnings momentum to grow around 15%.
(Analysts’ price target is $153.94)