Alphabet IncGOOGPAST TOP PICKJun 13, 2023Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
Has done well, but still below all-time highs. Still leads in online search and ads. They grew a lot during Covid, but has slowed down since. Generates lot of fresh cash flow. They've developed their own Generative AI company and will embed AI in a lot of their products. Their cloud business is growing at a healthy 30% and have a strong balance sheet. Forward PE is 23x, higher than a year ago. They can keep growing. Are cutting costs after rapid expansion.