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Alphabet IncGOOGPARTIAL BUYJun 19, 2018Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 17, 2026. Market Open.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
Doing great. Worries about Search becoming obsolete were baseless, though its share of searching will fall. However, the pie will expand and so total revenue will grow. Gemini has a leadership position in AI.
Plus there's YouTube -- about 23% global streaming share and caters to shorter attention spans. Waymo also adds to this very powerful compounder.
Moat is pretty phenomenal. Strongest pillar are the networks. Largest index of "intent" data -- what people want right now. That data allows them to target ads. 70% of the world's operating systems are Android.
Sheer scale of its infrastructure lets them run massive AI models at a much lower unit cost. His 12-month price target is $378. Yield is 0.25%.
Entry point now? The way to think about it is that it’s like a utility. One of their favourite technology investments. When the name is synonymous with the task, that’s a dominant position. Stock has had a great run, but it’s not expensive at 16-17x PE. They’re innovating, investing in all kinds of businesses, they have YouTube which isn’t fully monetized yet. Market pullback is a good time to look at it, but it’s also a difficult market. A great company. You could start a position now and take a very long-term view. Comfortable it’ll be higher in 5-10 years.