Alphabet IncGOOGTOP PICKApr 12, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 13, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
As the largest search engine, it garners a lot of the digital online advertising. She can see very good secular growth in digital advertising. Corporate advertising budgets have about 35% allocated to digital, and sees that increasing over time. They will garner a big share of that because it is the leading search engine. This is not a value stock, but more of a GARP stock, trading at about a 25 forward PE. Has consistently grown its revenue in excess of 25% organically, and a lot of that is falling to the bottom line. Earnings are also growing at a 25% clip. (Analysts’ price target is $1000.)