Alphabet IncGOOGDON'T BUYNov 25, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 13, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
The FANG stocks have not participated since the Trump rally took off. You are seeing pressure against a declining 20 day moving average. They are not participating in the infrastructure build, industrial revolution, financial rallies. You want to be in other places at this point. We do have a 200-day moving average coming into play at about $760. If it can hold that, it might be something to shoot against, but until we can break the trend of lower highs and lower lows, this could be heading lower. (See Top Picks.)