Alphabet IncGOOGTOP PICKFeb 09, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
This had a big pull back to $700. Reported a great quarter last week. This is the biggest online search company, and online advertising is a secular growth industry. Thinks it still only represents about 30% of the overall ad-spend when a company looks at their advertising budget, and it should increase over time. With this company’s dominance in search, they will get a larger share of that advertising budget. Thinks earnings can grow in the 18%-20% range for the next few years. Trading at a 20X multiple, and a 1.5 PEG ratio.