Alphabet IncGOOGPAST TOP PICKJun 09, 2015Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
(A Top Pick June 30/14. Down 7.27%.) He is disappointed. It has more money in the bank this year than last year. Profits are up and it is trading at a reasonable valuation. People are concerned about their strategies and how other companies are earning more advertising revenues in native apps. They are also disappointed that the company is not using its YouTube app fast or aggressively enough compared to Facebook (FB-Q). Profits are still growing at about 20% and trading at 17X earnings. Has dominant market share in its businesses. Also, dealing with the European antitrust investigation, which he thinks they will likely move through, but will probably cost them some money. Also, feel investors are concerned about the company’s ability to grow rapidly in the Chinese market, where most of their applications are blocked by Chinese authorities.