Opinions Barry Schwartz
Alphabet IncGOOGTOP PICKFeb 24, 2015
Barry SchwartzStock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 31, 2026. Market Open.
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That was an eye-opener. The Mag 7 has peaked, and it could be a multi-year peak due to the negative free cash flow. GOOG is one of the winners in AI. Once the PE declines or AI spending slows, the stock could react better. The street would be very disappointed if only the core businesses of the Mag 7 were generating free cash flow growth and AI was not. It's tough to look through AI spend and invest the Mag 7 which remain great companies, but now face the biggest risk in years.
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Premium contentIn the last quarter, the company reported 9.11 USD per share, beating the 2.88 USD estimate by 216.66%. Revenue for the same period reached 119.80 B USD, despite the estimate of 117.06 B USD. For the next quarter, analysts expect 3.02 USD in earnings per share and 124.53 B USD in revenue. Social media mentions are up 405% in the past 24h.
He trimmed a little early this year, but likes it. Their relationship with the customer is strong across its platform. Secondly, growth is remarkable. Also, the valuation is reasonable. Their AI model is not the best, but it's competitive. Can you keep your eyeballs on a Google product? Yes. Gemini is integrated in their search, so that removes the threat to their search.
Julien Nono-Womdim
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
A Hold for him today instead of a Buy, just on valuation (~30x PE). Very robust growth outlook. To add, wait for a bit of a pullback -- the potential for valuation upside gives you less risk, and you can't expect multiple expansion from current price point.
Chris BlumasFantastic year. Recently pulled a bit back from peak. Gemini has been exceptional. Ancillary assets deserve attention. Great long-term hold.
John ZechnerAI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
Stan WongStill one of the highest-quality businesses in the world. Wide range of opportunities despite the runup. Cloud has been doing extremely well. Reasonable valuation. 9/10 on fundamentals. Regulatory scrutiny a potential risk. Massive user base, proprietary data.
(Analysts’ price target is $430.00)
Brianne GardnerFirst quarter since Covid it didn't buy back stock. Raised capex by $5B. Gemini is outstanding, leading it to win at Search as well as to concrete monetization. Only trading at 22x PE for 2028 and 17% growth. Stock still works, more to go.
Greg Newman
One of the best business plans in the world. Advertising is all about a push business. If you want to advertise, you have to spend lots of money, and hopefully people will see it. On the other hand, if people want to look you up, all they have to do is Google you. This is the greatest advertising business model in the world. They make about 95% margin selling keywords. They are using the cash flow to make bets in other areas, which have huge markets such as networking, cable, Google glass, YouTube, etc. They are really under-reporting their earnings because they are investing so much in CapX and R&D. Their earnings would be a lot higher if they weren’t doing that. There is potential for them to start a dividend as well as share buyback.