Alphabet IncGOOGCOMMENTDec 01, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
Kind of warming up to this. He keeps looking at the valuation which is attractive. Trading at $540 with $75 a share net in cash. Probably by this time next year, they will have $85-$90 a share net in cash and close to earning $30. 14 or 15 times net cash is not a lot to pay for a wonderful company. This company has probably one of the biggest moats in the world and a very, very long runway of growth with advertising online, and are now monetizing YouTube. Interesting and exciting to him.