Alphabet IncGOOGTOP PICKJun 02, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
If you can you should always buy voting shares. Thinks they set up the voting shares because they wanted to go out and make big acquisitions, not just with their cash which is enormous, but also with the currency they have with their stock. They’ll use their nonvoting stock to dilute it down so the voting stock will become more and more valuable. Has a tremendous cost of capital advantage, and will probably grow about 18%-20% per year. Trading at around 18X earnings, a marginal premium to the average stock, and yet it grows much, much faster than the average stock with a much, much stronger balance sheet.