Alphabet IncGOOGCOMMENTMay 30, 2014Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jul 10, 2026. Market Open.
Fears that AI would eat its lunch. Harder for Anthropic to monetize a new tool than for GOOG to take AI and apply it to a business model that it already monetizes. Muscle memory of the populace gravitates to GOOG to find information. Probably thrives in the new AI world, until something more disruptive comes along.
AI monetization is happening, and AI Mode has been a game changer. Stronger cloud growth (revenue grew 63% YOY last quarter, tremendous), broader monetization across platforms. Search and advertising remain strong, lots of cashflow. Also a great ecosystem.
Good growth, but relatively decent valuation. Yield is 0.25%.
A year ago, consensus was that Search was going to die. Seems ridiculous now. Gemini is overtaking ChatGPT. Data centre business is growing faster than before. Still not that expensive. He hasn't sold any shares yet, but may take some off the table from the long-term holding and put toward one of the Mag 7 laggards.
An advertising juggernaut. The key to long term success for them is mobility and the ability to capture the attention of people in all places and through all devices. There has been a little bit of controversy over a “volume versus price” argument, what you pay for per click and what you’re volume is. Feels there has been a little bit of overreaction that their margins on the “pay per click” have been falling. Thinks this has been misunderstood. People when they are walking down the street are not going to be as active in terms of spending money, but that doesn’t mean over time they are not going to spend money. He prefers class C voting shares (GOOGL-Q).