
TSE:EXE
This summary was created by AI, based on 4 opinions in the last 12 months.
Extendicare Inc (EXE-T) is positioned well to take advantage of the shifting demographics favoring home healthcare and long-term care. Experts highlight its strong market position, particularly in Ontario where government funding is increasing for home healthcare providers. The company has shown good margin management and is bouncing back from the pandemic, even though some analysts express caution regarding its share price, suggesting that much of its potential growth may already be reflected in current valuations. While there is appreciation for its asset-light model and effective management, some experts prefer other opportunities, citing the competitive landscape and relatively low growth outlook compared to its peers. Overall, the company has a positive growth trajectory with potential for mid to high $30s per share, but there are varying levels of enthusiasm among analysts regarding its valuation and growth prospects.
Stock vs. Stock. EXE-T vs. CHR.UN-T. EXE-T is more into nursing homes. CSH.UN-T is more focused on retirement care, which is privately funded. He would not be adding to it right now. EXE-T looks like it is trading at a slight premium to its NAV. CSH.UN-T is affected by the 4.5% cap rate that another was taken out at. It would have room to move in the case of a takeover, but is trading rich relative to other REITs otherwise.
Didn’t quite fit his portfolio standards, because it didn’t quite have 100% upside. Sold their US operations for $1.1 billion. They are looking to expand in Canada. Thinks management has a pretty good idea of what they are doing. Debt load is still a bit higher than what he likes. He can see this going up to about $14, and perhaps surpassing that. A great play on demographics because the population is getting older. Dividend yield of 6.02%.
Recently sold some US assets, so they are sitting on a lot of cash. They are going to redeploy that cash hopefully to make an acquisition, which will bump up their net operating income. There should be dividend growth after that is done. The stock is probably going to get stuck here until management effectively lays out a plan. He prefers Chartwell (CSH.UN-T) and Amica Mature Lifestyles (ACC-T). He is not worried about the dividend or the balance sheet, just the lack of certainty on their vision.
From a demographic perspective, this is really in the right spot providing assisted-living and nursing home facilities across Canada. They liquidated their US holdings and are focusing strictly on Canada. Has a steady dividend and there is going to be a growth profile here. At some point in time they will make an acquisition with the money they got from the US.
He likes healthcare and the demographics. Population is getting older and this is a leader in the market. Until recently, they were also in the US marketplace, but sold their holdings for $1.1 billion. They redeployed some Canadian assets and recently acquired another company for about $81 million. Also, looking to possibly do some other takeovers. The Ontario government is looking to increase the fees that they pay for the redevelopment of beds, going from $13+ to $16+. The financial statements are pretty good. Pays a dividend of $.04 a month. He could see this potentially doubling. Oxford Park has moved in as activist shareholders buying over 5%, which might light a bit of a fire under management.
Exited his position when they sold their US holdings. His concern is that Canada is in a slow growth period, which is putting enormous pressure on governments across the country. The federal government is going to cut the healthcare transfer from 6% a year to a figure that is based on GDP growth with a 3% floor. This means that companies like this that get money through the public purse may be squeezed a little by government cost cutting. Not sure this is a good time to Buy.
Finally sold their US operations getting over $1 billion, which lowered the risk quite a bit. Still has quite a bit of debt. A leader in the senior care industry, making it a great demographic play. Has a lot of upside. Dividend yield of 5.23%.