
TSE:ELD
Gold is moving, but he is not a bull on gold. Gold has reacted very favourably to what we have seen in the last few weeks such as concerns over the emerging markets. This is a good company to own, if you are bullish on gold. He sees gold prices moving lower from here. If you want something that is kind of defensive, look at Silver Wheaton (SLW-T), which is really a silver royalty company, but with some gold streams. Goldcorp (G-T) is another name to look at.
Period of seasonal strength for gold and gold stocks is July through September. This one is outside of that period of seasonal strength, but you still get a bit of a push in the metal stocks. Silver and copper stocks are doing well and that can lift gold stocks. However, they still tend to underperform the market. This one has tested $5.79, a good number of times, so it looks like it is trying to build a base.
Just had a problem this week where they cannot ship ore at one of the Brazilian ports. Very good gold company. Viable here if you can hang on until the sector recovers. Production base is good and their assets are good. Higher risk because some of their assets are in foreign jurisdictions. Feels the fair value is in the $10-$11 range. In a better gold situation, the stock could go to $14-$15. If you’ve got 3 years, you will do okay with this.
Likes all of the golds. Trading at about BV, which is cheaper than the average gold company. Cost of production relative to current price is still good. It will have nice leverage on the upside if gold goes higher. It’s a long ways from its peak Price to Book of 4 times. Yield of 0.24%.