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Domtar Inc. (DTC.TO)

BUY
The safe way to have some forest product exposure. Well managed, good balance sheet, a little bit of everything. Can't see any downside at this price.
SELL
There are better paper companies available. Has had credit downgradings. Earnings have not been good. His valuation of the stock is in the low $1's. Would buy Rayonier (RYN-N) instead.
WEAK BUY
Looks very cheap. It has had troubles because of the US$ differential. Very well managed. One of the few companies in this sector still making money. The street still has $11/ targets on it. They need a much weaker Cdn$ to do well.
WEAK BUY
Even though the economy recovered, the paper sector has stayed soft. The change in the value of the dollar hurt them. Got hit on their assets in Quebec. At $9 it probably represents pretty good value. Worth a good hard look, but you have to be careful with stocks that the market hates.
DON'T BUY
Wouldn't consider owning this until the stock stops going down and starts to go up. Paper grades that they are in have being doing poorly. Hurt by the US$. Quebec government is looking for less wood to be cut down.
WEAK BUY
Excellent C.E.O. Has been hurt by the rising Cdn$. This sector does not interest him. Could be a good contrarian pick.
DON'T BUY
One of the better forestry stocks. Levered to US employment growth which hasn't been strong. Not one of the better commodities to be in. Overcapacity.
TOP PICK
Good management. Has less debt than other forest product companies. Under $10, you have a great opportunity here.
BUY
2.5% dividend. Close to a buy, but would like to see some earnings turn around. Model price of $11.25. They have disappointed many times. If you buy, it could go to $7.65 and that would be the absolute low on it. Worth a business man's risk.
WEAK BUY
Has been highly hurt by the Cdn$. Coated free sheet which is one of their largest paper grades has been hanging in OK. Trying to get price increases. A very good long term entry point, but you might have to be patient.
DON'T BUY
Wouldn't be in a hurry to buy this one. The basic commodity prices for their uncoated free sheet and major paper grades are not strong. Inventories are still rising as demand is very slow. Hurt by the rising Cdn$.
DON'T BUY
Doesn't buy broken companies. Energy prices have been smartly higher over the last year which is a big input cost for them. Cdn$ has been stronger.
DON'T BUY
Pricing for free sheet has been flat over the last while, so they are not going to get a kick from commodities.
DON'T BUY
The pricing in the forest sector is still looking awfully tough. Uncoated free sheet was very big for them and doesn't look very good right now. Lumber doesn't look bad, but a little worried about housing. Newsprint's not good. Pulp is a little soft. Also negatively impacted by the high Cdn$.
DON'T BUY
Prefers stocks that are going up, or at least have stopped dropping and showing signs of starting to go up. In the forest products area, the eastern producers have suffered badly, especially in Quebec. Nothing wrong with the company, it's just in the wrong place right now.
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