Don Vialoux
Dorel Industries
DII.B-T
COMMENT
Jul 11, 2014
Consumer discretionary normally underperforms the market at this time of year. Technically the chart shows it is on a downward trend. Performance relative to the TSE is negative. Also, trading below its 20 day moving average. It is coming down close to its longer-term support, and if it bounces from that level, it will be an opportunity to take another look. Seasonally these stocks do very well from October to at least the end of the year.
Sold his holdings. Had thought that they had a pretty good idea going big into bicycles, but the company has failed to execute. He kept waiting quarter after quarter and kept getting disappointed.
(A Top Pick March 13/15. Down 22.64%.) Bought a baby seat manufacturer in China, which is not profitable at the moment. A lot of their products are exposed to the strong US$ which has not helped. Dividend yield of 5.5% while you are waiting.
This created a base for itself in the high $20s, and has rallied up through the $30s. It is starting to test areas where it had problems before. $32 was support in the old days, but now looks like resistance, but he feels the stock is ready. The high $30s are in its immediate future.
This is struggling. Thinks it goes to $26.50. Closed at $31.39. He has a model price of $49, which is 57% higher, but this is a cyclical. The market is actually shooting consumer stocks right now.
his Canadian bicycle manufacturer should be performing well during the peak seasonal period for the sector. The stock is making new significant lows -- this is a warning. He would not buy this.
Likes the baby product space and has looked at this company several times. The balance sheet has some debt but has been well managed. He is not looking at this company directly, but does like the space.
Doesn't like the company. The stock has been suffering for the past decade. They're in furniture and bicycles, both businesses under pressure. Dividend hasn't grown.
Consumer discretionary normally underperforms the market at this time of year. Technically the chart shows it is on a downward trend. Performance relative to the TSE is negative. Also, trading below its 20 day moving average. It is coming down close to its longer-term support, and if it bounces from that level, it will be an opportunity to take another look. Seasonally these stocks do very well from October to at least the end of the year.