Opinions
Dennis Mitchell, CFA
Cominar Real Estate Inv Tr
CUF.UN-T
BUY
Jan 19, 2010
Not in his top 10 on valuation. Today, bought Overland Reality Corp. in Nova Scotia with small portfolio of offices, industrial, retail and multi-family. In the past they bought asset from a Quebec REIT and did a tremendous job of leasing the assets and he would expect no less from this transaction. Distribution is sustainable, but they have a number of convertible debentures issues outstanding. As you grow free cash flow and unit price goes up, you trigger these converts and you issue a lot of equity.
$19.750
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BUY
Quebec's biggest REIT and once a darling REIT. But they had a lot of dilutive raises which increased leverage and bloated their portfolio. Also, the dividend is too high and will likely get cut. Last year, activists forced the company to change at the board level and cut the dividend (and needs yet another cut). The payout ratio is now much better and they've hired a new CFO who should do a fine job. Now, they are considering what to do with Gare Central in Quebec City, and this may benefit shareholders. A good time to buy.
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DON'T BUY
A play on Quebec. Announced a strategic review, so potential for some sort of activity. She prefers to own a pure industrial. Summit, for example, has Montreal exposure. Retail is going to face significant challenges to creating a path to growth. Third distribution cut since 2017. Better opportunities elsewhere.
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