Converge Technology SolutionsCTS.TOBUYMay 11, 2022Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Apr 23, 2025. Market Open.
Average target is now $5.04. Post-earnings, Scotiabank lowered its rating from $5 to $4. At less than 9X earnings it certainly can still be called cheap. Q3 results showed EPS of 12c, beating estimates of 9.5c. Revenue of $630.7M slightly missed estimates of $639.7M. EBITDA missed estimates by 14%. Guidance was mostly inline with estimates. Q3 sales fell 8.9% and we certainly would prefer to see this trend reverse. The CC did not add a whole lot. The CEO/Board transition is ahead of plan. CTS continues to return capital to shareholders (buybacks and dividends). CTS is not seeing attractive acquisitions and prefers to buyback its stock over making a mis-priced deal. With rising cash flow conversion the balance sheet is in much better shape, with net debt less than six months of cash flow now. This 'should' help the valuation multiple over time.
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We continue to like CTS, and although its recent momentum has not been favourable, we believe its long-term value is still in play. It pays a small yield of 1.4%, analysts expect decent forward sales and earnings growth, albeit slightly lumpy, but its valuation reflects this, at 7X forward earnings. Its valuation is cheap, its debt levels are fine, and its free cash flow is impressive. While recent momentum has not been great, we continue to believe its valuation will re-rate as its fundamentals continue to improve.
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Fundamentally, the story hasn't changed. Market's gone through a correction. Very inexpensive. Good play on AI, as purchases in that area are made through a company like this. Be patient. Low valuation, raised dividend, buying back stock, you'll be fine.
Billy Kawasaki’s Insights - Billy’s most-liked answers from 5i Research. Quarter was good. Revenue grew 77%, beat estimates by 10% and EPS more than doubled to 8 cents, beating estimates by 25%. The company made five acquisitions year to date and organic growth was decent at 7%. Cash flow conversion was strong at 82%. Backlog looked healthy and showed good growth. Gross margins came down slightly, but management expects them to rise in the next quarter due to more software sales expected. Management also noted improvements on the supply chain side with regards to hardware deliverables from 4-6 months to 2-3 months (normally 4-6 weeks). Overall, CTS is well-positioned. No major concerns about the quarter. Negative momentum on the stock is more market-related than company-specific. Unlock Premium - Try 5i Free