TSE:CPX

Capital Power (CPX.TO)

61.31
-0.67 (1.08%)
as of Sep 25, 2026, 6:14:13 pm Market Open.
441 watching
0
DON'T BUY

Red flags: they're shifting away from coal energy--and this will take time--and their dependence on Alberta energy. Instead, buy AQN, which pays a regulated return, though buy on a pullback, and it's done a great job growing. AQN is his favourite in this space.

COMMENT

CPX vs. Transalta They're transitioning away from coal to natural gas, wind and solar.They've executed extremely well, but he prefers Transalta for its valuation--and Brookfield could buy Transalta. Both companies are well-run.

DON'T BUY
Power generation does not seem to attract the same multiples for investors are the same ratings from the credit issues, due to the variability in cash flows. It pays a good yield. He would not be putting capital in this space yet.
COMMENT
They consistently grow their dividend. They grow organically and by acquisition. Their recent weakness has been due to an attempted acquisition and would pay for that with a stock issue. Once this is cleared-up, then the cash flow will lead to a dividend increase. Pays a 6% yield.
COMMENT
He hasn't looked at this chart before. It was sideways for a long time, then broke out a little in fall 2018. Then, it consolidated and is now pulling back perhaps to its old breakout point of the high-$20s.
TOP PICK
A meat and potatoes business, trading at 16 times earnings, 5.7% dividend with a 7% growth in dividends yearly, and low payout ratio. Yield 5.7% (Analysts’ price target is $31.32)
COMMENT
Dividend is ok. He does not follow this name.
BUY
A defensive play? Their legacy business was coal-fired plants in Alberta, but today faces greening under the Notley government. So, CPX struck a deal with Notley to diversify assets away from those plants into more green power. They pay nearly a 7% yield, which is safe, covered by good cash flow. A good defensive stock.
PARTIAL SELL
Outperformed last year. Little growth here so not one of his favourites. Among stable utilities, he prefers Fortis and Emera--bigger with better reputations and dividend growth. Nothing wrong this this, but there are better stocks in this space. They had a good year in 2018, so take money here. Also the political picture in Albera looks murky (the Tories will likely replace the NDP), so coal-powered generation looks uncertain.
BUY
Safe dividend. Good balance sheet. 17x earnings. Headwinds coming with planned outages. Likes it.
BUY
Looks at it once in a while. Stock’s held up nicely in last little while. Dividend is there, and as investment firms raise cash, provides an opportunity. Cash flow should be maintained. An inflation hedge. Inflation gets passed on to end user, so cash flow is secure.
TOP PICK

It's the top-performing Canadian utility yet little known. Has momentum. You're paid a safe, big dividend pl;us modest price growth. It plays into the carbon tax. CPS's assets are gas, wind and solar which are higher-cost commodities to produce, so the carbon tax will hit traditional forms of energy and benefit CPX. He sees a 2-3% upside plus dividend. Pays over a 6% dividend.

BUY

He holds this in his dividend portfolio. Its yield is over 6% and it has room to grow with the Alberta recovery. He described this as the kind of stock that he prefers to Algonquin Power and Utility (AQN-T).

BUY

The risk-off environment has benefited the utilities. He sees a sluggish growth environment for 2018/19. Their balance sheet is very good. It has a 7% dividend which is safe. It is a 46% stable payout ratio. He forecasts 6% earnings per share growth. Sell a put and get a premium. Then own it and get the dividend.

DON'T BUY

When interest rates are rising, you want a company with a growing dividend and this one has it – although it is not growing rapidly. The dividend has been growing at about 6% per year. The share price has been falling and he does not see the power sector improving. If you own it for the dividend, it is safe. You could be passing up on better opportunities.

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