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Costco Wholesale CorporationCOSTSTRONG BUYSep 25, 2020Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 18, 2026. Market Open.
Both great companies, but both very expensive. COST is over 50x PE, and WMT's in the 40s. Fairly low-margin model. Reliant on the consumer, and everyone's affected when that consumer is struggling.
WMT reported today. Earnings were OK, but projections on future quarters were tough. High fuel prices were highlighted.
No valuation concerns, as it's been expensive every day he's looked at it over 30 years. Compounded shareholder total return of 17.5% since its IPO. Third-largest retailer in the world. Procurement clout and supply-chain efficiencies produce gross margins of 11%. Still expanding store count. Periodically increases membership fees. Superior same-store sales performance driven by traffic and basket size.
Lots of ways to win. Yield is 0.59%.
A good name to hold in consumer staples when people panic about market volatility, recession, or the like. Defensive plus steady growth. Runup since January, now trending sideways. Business model is what makes it stand out.
Sees ~11-12% upside from here. Of course, that could change. Ranks 10/10 for her.
It reported great numbers yesterday. New customers will stick with them after Covid. Analysts keep underestimating the staying power of these Covid stocks. The stock went down after strong earnings, because analysts are skeptical about the duration of the pandemic. Memberships rise 5% annually. They have excellent managers who pay their staff well. With colder weather, their patio heaters will sell well, he predicts, because Costco sells it cheaper than Amazon. Let's face it: America has royally screwed up controlling the virus, so expects these Covid stocks to endure.