Costco Wholesale CorporationCOSTCOMMENTDec 03, 2013Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Sep 10, 2026. Market Open.
World's third-largest retailer. High traffic, repeat business, superior same-store sales growth in high single digits. Likes the recurring membership fees, with ~92% retention rate. Likes the procurement clout and narrow assortment of goods. Pretty good gross margins of 11%, and ~30% ROE.
Seems to trade at a high multiple, and this scares people. But it's compounded at 17-18% since the IPO in 1985. Any day that ends in "y" is a good day to buy. Yield is 0.64%.
Has traded at a high valuation pretty much since it went public. Good luck trying to pick a perfect valuation entry point. He invests in companies that can invest cashflows at high rates of return over decades. Stealing market share from low- and middle-end grocery stores. Adding services, such as Medicare plans in the US. Same-store sales growth 7-8% a year.
Deserves to trade at a high multiple because of business durability over the long term. Yield is 0.60%.
Both great companies, but both very expensive. COST is over 50x PE, and WMT's in the 40s. Fairly low-margin model. Reliant on the consumer, and everyone's affected when that consumer is struggling.
WMT reported today. Earnings were OK, but projections on future quarters were tough. High fuel prices were highlighted.
How do you classify this, consumer staple or consumer discretionary? Also, why has it gained a few percentage points more in total return than Wal-Mart (WMT-N) given that it has a much, much higher P/E ratio? The difference between these 2 is that Wal-Mart tends to be at the lower and of the demographic scale. Also, Costco is a membership driven situation where Wal-Mart is not. Also, there are differences in the types of companies they are. Well managed company and has a good model but a little too expensive for him.