TSE:CNR

Canadian National R.R. (CNR.TO)

168.35
-0.96 (0.57%)
as of Sep 9, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
1168 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconSep 9, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 31 opinions in the last 12 months.

Canadian National R.R. (CNR) is viewed as a high-quality transportation business with strong fundamentals, evident from revenue increases and raised earnings outlook, although it faces challenges from competition, trade uncertainties, and economic cycles. Experts highlight a mixed outlook, with a preference for patience as recovery in freight volumes and GDP growth is anticipated, despite experiencing a freight recession lasting several years. Some analysts express concern over CNR's reduced guidance and external trade pressures, while others view it as an attractive long-term investment due to its irreplaceable network and historical resilience. Valuations have contracted, making it appealing for new investments at current levels, especially given its dividend yield and buyback history, despite volatile market conditions influenced by geopolitical events and economic shifts.

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Consensus
Mixed
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Valuation
Undervalued
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Similar
CP
TOP PICK

Pricing power. Good track record on safety. Last year, economy was weaker, and this hit the rails. Labour disruptions. Volumes were affected. Affirmed guidance after Q1 reporting, expects 10-15% EPS growth (assuming there's still volume growth and no recession). Valuation is now at a very attractive multiple compared to historical levels and to the group. 

Went public in 1995, and has increased dividend every year since. Yield is 2.49%.

(Analysts’ price target is $162.93)
HOLD

Sold this in favour of trucking, a more cyclical and higher-torque way to get exposure to recovery in manufacturing and merchandising. Covid explosion in purchasing made for difficult comparisons later, so trucking experienced a 3-year "freight recession".

Still, there's no good reason to abandon the rails. They give you a good franchise and "forever" earnings power. Sector is largely an oligopoly. Those trains should still be rolling 100 years from now. This name is a backbone of the Canadian economy. Tremendous compounder and TSX outperformer.

TOP PICK

Canadian company. He's been 75% US, 25% Canada for a long time. He's now trying to reverse that and repatriate some of that US cash. The stock's been through a lot, dropping $40 in the last little bit. Spending lots of $$ to improve infrastructure, which will hopefully translate into some growth. Tariffs will resolve themselves shortly. Fairly good dividend of 2.53%.

Doesn't own yet, but plans to buy with proceeds from sale of US stocks. Sell if it drops below $130.

(Analysts’ price target is $162.92)
WAIT
CNR vs. CP

Both are really good, monopoly-type businesses. On timing, don't do either right now. Tariff inflation hasn't happened yet, but it will. As that causes economic problems, it will affect the economically sensitive names. The NA economy is vulnerable right now.

That said, his preference is definitely CP. Now that it includes Mexico, its footprint is so unique. Growth profile gives them more upside on earnings, which provides a buffer during economic weakness. Both trade at less than 20x PE, but CP is more compelling, along with its phenomenal management team. An OK buy here, but be prepared to buy more if it does get hit. Perhaps buy 1/2 a position now, and then the other half later whether it goes up or down.

COMMENT

She likes the rails but would like to see more consistency in the quarterly reports and more momentum. The dividend is 2 1/2% which is not great. There is upside in the fundamentals and it should turn around for the long term. It scores 6 out of 10 on the value scale.

WEAK BUY

Sold late last year, due to worries partly on tariffs and partly on management's ability to create value. Didn't like that it was buying back stock using debt, or yo-yo projections (up) versus guidance (down). Heavy capex business. Growth hasn't been there with pandemic, tariffs, inflation.

Probably some good value here. If you have a long-term investment horizon, not the worst idea to have a 1-2% position in the Canadian rails and just leave it alone. Doesn't have a strong conviction either way right now on CNR vs. CP.

DON'T BUY

He got stopped out, broke support. Can't be all that bullish on it until it returns to above $150.

WATCH

Something she's looking at now. Higher yield, lower valuation. Has come up significantly in the past week or two with the market run. If it went back down to $125, she'd definitely be interested. Stable, not easily replicable. Consistent cashflow that supports the dividend. Still the cheapest way to transport goods. Prefers it to CP.

PARTIAL BUY

Is watching it after falling to current levels. The rails track GDP levels. CN boasts a slightly lower PE and higher ROE than CP, but are paying much more in price-to book than CP, but you get more. Overall, it evens out slightly in CP's favour. You can buy some shares now and more if it falls further.

WAIT

Negatively impacted by trade. Economically sensitive. Likes the business. Margins and cashflow are great for the rails. Constructive longer term, once tariff issues get sorted. He prefers CP.

TOP PICK

It's been a struggle holding this for years. The dividend continues to grow. With more trade, will be more transport by rails which is 300% more efficient than truck. Trades at a cheap 17x PE. Add some now, more later. If we don't trade with the US, we will be shipping to the coasts to export abroad.

(Analysts’ price target is $172.72)
WAIT
CP vs. CNR

CP has more catalysts from the Kansas City merger, and a better growth rate. Both are getting more attractive. If we get the all clear on the economy, both names will be decent entry points. Though optimistic, he's still a bit afraid, and wouldn't step in just yet.

HOLD

Critical piece of the supply chain. Still remains a dominant player in the vast network linking Canada and the US. Rough Q4 from labour strikes and extreme weather. Yield ~3.4%.

Stable, long-term asset, but facing margin headwinds from rising costs and lower productivity. Increased competition from CP-KSU merger.

SELL

Small position. Not a great-looking chart. Thinking of selling. A potential candidate to raise cash in his portfolio.

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Curated by Michael O'Reilly since 2020.
1550+ opinions with 4.81 rating (one of the best performing expert).

PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Oct 03/24, Down 8.9%)Stockchase Research Editor: Michael O’Reilly

Our PAST TOP PICK with CNR has triggered its stop at $141.  To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time.  

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