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TSE:CNR
This summary was created by AI, based on 35 opinions in the last 12 months.
Canadian National R.R. (CNR) has faced challenges including reduced guidance, strikes, and external issues affecting volumes, leading to a drop in stock valuation. Despite these obstacles, experts express optimism about its long-term prospects, citing its substantial network, good free cash flow, and a history of share buybacks. Concerns over trade tariffs and economic cycles continue to loom, but many expect that once such uncertainties are resolved, CNR could benefit significantly. The company's competitive advantages, such as high barriers to entry and pricing power, make it a potentially attractive investment, especially as valuations have adjusted lower recently. Overall, while current conditions reflect some pessimism, the long-term outlook remains positive as CNR is anticipated to remain a vital player in the transportation sector.
Canadian company. He's been 75% US, 25% Canada for a long time. He's now trying to reverse that and repatriate some of that US cash. The stock's been through a lot, dropping $40 in the last little bit. Spending lots of $$ to improve infrastructure, which will hopefully translate into some growth. Tariffs will resolve themselves shortly. Fairly good dividend of 2.53%.
Doesn't own yet, but plans to buy with proceeds from sale of US stocks. Sell if it drops below $130.
Both are really good, monopoly-type businesses. On timing, don't do either right now. Tariff inflation hasn't happened yet, but it will. As that causes economic problems, it will affect the economically sensitive names. The NA economy is vulnerable right now.
That said, his preference is definitely CP. Now that it includes Mexico, its footprint is so unique. Growth profile gives them more upside on earnings, which provides a buffer during economic weakness. Both trade at less than 20x PE, but CP is more compelling, along with its phenomenal management team. An OK buy here, but be prepared to buy more if it does get hit. Perhaps buy 1/2 a position now, and then the other half later whether it goes up or down.
Sold late last year, due to worries partly on tariffs and partly on management's ability to create value. Didn't like that it was buying back stock using debt, or yo-yo projections (up) versus guidance (down). Heavy capex business. Growth hasn't been there with pandemic, tariffs, inflation.
Probably some good value here. If you have a long-term investment horizon, not the worst idea to have a 1-2% position in the Canadian rails and just leave it alone. Doesn't have a strong conviction either way right now on CNR vs. CP.
Something she's looking at now. Higher yield, lower valuation. Has come up significantly in the past week or two with the market run. If it went back down to $125, she'd definitely be interested. Stable, not easily replicable. Consistent cashflow that supports the dividend. Still the cheapest way to transport goods. Prefers it to CP.
Is watching it after falling to current levels. The rails track GDP levels. CN boasts a slightly lower PE and higher ROE than CP, but are paying much more in price-to book than CP, but you get more. Overall, it evens out slightly in CP's favour. You can buy some shares now and more if it falls further.
It's been a struggle holding this for years. The dividend continues to grow. With more trade, will be more transport by rails which is 300% more efficient than truck. Trades at a cheap 17x PE. Add some now, more later. If we don't trade with the US, we will be shipping to the coasts to export abroad.
(Analysts’ price target is $172.72)Critical piece of the supply chain. Still remains a dominant player in the vast network linking Canada and the US. Rough Q4 from labour strikes and extreme weather. Yield ~3.4%.
Stable, long-term asset, but facing margin headwinds from rising costs and lower productivity. Increased competition from CP-KSU merger.
As part of the CP/CNR oligopoly, it will always make money. Not even AI can make rails obsolete anytime soon. Very capital intensive -- operating costs, unionized workers, equipment. So FCF as percentage of revenue is not that amazing. Even with pullback today, still trades ~18-20x PE. Not overly expensive, but not cheap either.
Probably OK if you have a long-term view and want reasonable stability, grow as fast as the economy, get some efficiencies along the way, and collect the dividend. But it's not for him.
Sold this in favour of trucking, a more cyclical and higher-torque way to get exposure to recovery in manufacturing and merchandising. Covid explosion in purchasing made for difficult comparisons later, so trucking experienced a 3-year "freight recession".
Still, there's no good reason to abandon the rails. They give you a good franchise and "forever" earnings power. Sector is largely an oligopoly. Those trains should still be rolling 100 years from now. This name is a backbone of the Canadian economy. Tremendous compounder and TSX outperformer.