50% off Premium Yearly
Canadian Natural RsrcsCNQ.TOBUYJul 03, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Oct 06, 2026. Market Open.
When asked to compare these four large companies if the price of oil drops, he felt that CNQ is a phenomenal company that's hard to beat. Suncor has been a turnaround story for the past two years. The quarterly reports have been much better. Rich Kruger is moving on to be the Executive Chair. If the price of oil does drop Imperial might be the best defensive play.
Editor's Note; For Cenovus, please refer to his previous answer.
Yes, he'd put new $$ in today. Buying stocks at 52-week highs isn't necessarily bad for your wealth (you'll actually do better than consistently buying at 52-week lows). Possible (but he can't say for sure) to retrace to mid-$50s if Iran war were to end.
On normalized oil prices, high single-digit FCF yield. Low-cost operator, decent production growth, strong balance sheet. Excellent capital allocation.
Oil reserves in a safe haven. Well run. If peace breaks out in the Middle East, all the energy names could retrace somewhat; if conflict escalates, then oil will run and you should take profits along the way.
If you're looking at a 3-10 year investment, by all means buy some energy here. But if you're looking for a 3-6 month trade, you have to be careful with these politically charged components of the market.
He can't tell you where the price of oil is going. He does know that demand continues to increase. One of the best capital allocators in the O&G space. Decades and decades of reserves. Increased dividend for 25-26 consecutive years.
For a generalist, long-term investor, trust the management of the quality leader. When oil turns down, this name will hold up better. If there was a pullback for no good reason, he'd buy more. Be patient and wait for your opportunity.
The question was on his preference between Suncor and CNQ. He would side with Suncor since it has more upside and CNQ's price is approaching fair value. Suncor has underperformed over the past week with the CEO stepping down. He had guided the company to a major turn-around. If the next CEO can continue to run the company as well as it has been running then he sees a 40% upside two years out.
Young investors don't care as much about dividend stocks, but they're really important. It's like collecting rent, instead of making money only once you sell a stock. The earlier they start, the more they reap the benefit of the compounding effect that takes place after 10, 20, 30 years of investing. Compounding is such a powerful tool.
It's hard to pick just one, as she likes a diversified portfolio. This name would be her first choice, based on today's valuation. Premium assets, low decline rate. Largest oil & gas company in Canada. Phenomenal job giving money back to shareholders via dividends and buybacks. Starting 2026, 100% of free cashflow will be returned to shareholders.