Opinions Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTA
Canadian Natural RsrcsCNQ.TOBUY ON WEAKNESSJan 27, 2025
Larry Berman CFA, CMT, CTAStock price when the opinion was issued
As of Aug 04, 2026. Market Open.
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Great company and he's made some $$ in it. That said, 80% of the variability will be the price of oil. Oil is jumping all over (to say the least ;). Thinks oil will stay up here, and CNQ should do fairly well. He's comfortable riding out the cyclicality, but have it as just one part of a diversified portfolio.
Tim ReganIf you're an O&G investor, this should be a staple in your portfolio. Bit of a misstep last quarter. High-quality name. Fairly valued here, but one to just hold.
John Stephenson
It took a while for the TransMountain pipeline to get full. How long does it take to build a pipeline. CNQ is the first he'd buy and the last he'd sell. Very well managed, has little debt and returns capital to shareholders. Don't own it for the hopes that a new pipeline will be built this decade.
It took a while for the TransMountain pipeline to get full. How long does it take to build a pipeline. CNQ is the first he'd buy and the last he'd sell. Very well managed, has little debt and returns capital to shareholders. Don't own it for the hopes that a new pipeline will be built this decade.
Long-term outlook for crude oil is bearish. When he looks at the forward price of crude past 2030, it's in the $50s (and could get into $40s depending on supply dynamics).
Short term, sure, buy dips in the energy space. Is this a name he'd be comfortable buying here and holding for 5-10 years? Absolutely not.
A lot of oil companies have fallen since the highs of March/April. He added just this morning -- chart's attractive, price bouncing off 200-day MA.
Stan WongLikes it at almost every investment cycle. (She'd choose it as a Top Pick on every Market Call appearance if they let her ;) Premium assets, premium management, low decline rate. Consistent cashflow.
Makes $$ when oil is $50. Higher oil price means that it can pay down debt faster and buy back more shares. A stock to own for the next 50 years. Yield is 4.27%, and dividend is growing.
Rebecca TeltscherOil prices are everywhere, and you have to be comfortable with that. Probably not a bad idea to buy when oil is ~$70 and everyone thinks the worst has passed. Trades in line with peers. Balance sheet in very good shape. 25% FCF from 2025-2027, on 3% production growth. Nice dividend. Even if oil goes down, it's profitable down to WTI at $50.
If you think oil's going down, you don't want to buy this stock. It's a coin toss right now with oil at $70. There are easier risk/reward places than oil stocks right now.
One of the best-managed companies in the world. Their oil business is stable, but their gas side is overlooked. They are a top-3 gas producer in Canada. Good cash flow will continue and allow them to buyback stock and shrink their debt.
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Premium contentOur PAST TOP PICK with CNQ has triggered its stop at $60. To remain disciplined, we recommend covering the position at this time. When combined with previous guidance, this will result in a net investment gain of 3%.
Unique company. Tends to be very cyclical, but its counter-cyclical framework gives it a huge edge. Amazing business that gushes cash. Loves it. Robust dividend. As balance sheet comes down, will allocate more capital to share buybacks, and that will be accretive to EPS.
If you own, sit tight and let it work. If coming in fresh, wait for a bigger pullback.
Chris BlumasHe won't bet on commodities on bad news. They grow production every year and watch costs. They have giant reserves. Long term, a headwind will be growing demand for EVs, as in China. Oil will eventually revert to $50-60 and this stock will correct a bit. CNQ can grow production 3-5% a year and its dividend 5-10%. He will own this long term. Is doing all the right things.
Barry Schwartz
On energy, he's a longer-term bull in the sense that we have supply constraints. He can't tell how short-term world issues will be resolved. But as we electrify the world, the world gets more power-hungry. The need for energy production, on all sorts of levels, is huge.
Likes the natural gas exposure in this name. At this level, fully valued. Gets interesting below $40. Above $50, he's neutral. Accumulate on weakness, trim on strength. An income play; don't expect it to be a major growth part of your portfolio.