Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)

36.03

-0.93 (2.52%)

as of Sep 9, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

91 watching

Investor Insights

Sep 9, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 7 opinions in the last 12 months.

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG-N) has experienced significant volatility, having dropped by around 29% recently. Despite a modestly better quarterly performance, including a slight earnings beat and improved sales growth, the company's stock price is still struggling post-CEO change. Analysts are somewhat optimistic about a potential 15% upside from current levels, but concerns over high valuations and broader market conditions remain. Additionally, while the company's brand loyalty and history of successful adjustments are positives, the stock's recent performance and challenges, such as falling same-store sales, indicate that recovery may take time. Analysts suggest cautious buying, perhaps beginning with a quarter position as the stock may see further fluctuations.

Consensus

Cautious

Valuation

Overvalued

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YUM, YUM

TOP PICK

An opportunity to pick up a pretty good name that has done a sideways move for some time. Millennials (generation Y) are taking to the name. The company is able to price what they want because consumers believe they are getting good value for their money and the quality is very high. Store count is around 1600 in the US, which he thinks is a very low concentration, considering what they have ahead of them. This doesn’t even consider what they are doing internationally.

DON'T BUY

There is a lot of momentum behind the stock. Trading at 42X forward earnings, which is pretty expensive. Growth rate is 20%, so you are paying 2X PEG ratio.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Dec 19/12. Up 77.45%.) Seemed like a powerful trend to him, principally driven by their attention to organic high-quality and basically competing with the fast food industry.

TOP PICK

High-quality organic food. Every once in a while there is a name that is very, very popular. This is the stock that has the most amount of excitement but also the most amount of volatility. Huge swings. But he feels it is time for some serious business and this is an area he feels investors should take a look at. Have something like 40% margins and 1000 stores. Looking for another $50 from here.

DON'T BUY

This is not the kind of a stock he looks at because it is a high growth stock and a high multiple stock. Their growth is slowing down. There is a lot of competition in Mexican food. At 30X earnings he is staying away. Doesn’t pay a dividend.

DON'T BUY

Not really familiar with it but it is higher end. All these companies are going to suffer from higher input costs, affecting margins. Expensive stock in terms of PE and that is why it went down. If it happens again you could see it at $2.50.

COMMENT

Chart shows a long upward trend from early 2009 but there was choppiness in 2011. Has a little bit of a wedge pattern so if it broke down to about the $325 level, there is probably a good chance to Short there and the most logical place for support would be at around $288-$290. Shorting when you have such a nice trend can be dangerous. If you want to buy, try to get it at the $330 level.

COMMENT

Buying a Put when it reaches its high of around $347-$350 with the idea of selling it if it goes down to $320-$310. Good strategy? This is a classic earnings momentum stock. He doesn't like to buy options because by definition you could lose 100% if you're wrong. If you are going to do it, buy a longer dated option (2 month or 3 month), pay the premium and then sell it as it migrates in 1 month.

DON'T BUY

Wants to buy a $3.10 Put for August up. (Caller thinks stock is going to go below $310.) Currently trading at $315, which is pretty good for a restaurant. Chart indicates there is a lot of biting going on and doesn't look like it is exhausting. This move would be a bit tricky now.

BUY

This is the kind of staple industry that just chugs along. Chart looks good. Nothing jumps out and is in a good sector.

BUY

Great earnings. Stock will probably split. Whenever they open a shop there is literally a line 2 hours before they open. Stock is going a lot higher.

PAST TOP PICK

(Top Pick Nov 4/10, 4.25% yield for 43 days) Short Chipotle / buy December puts. Was a company he did not own but wanted to own.

COMMENT

Strategy of Buying Puts thinking the stock might go down for a while? He doesn’t use options. Chart shows a pretty good upward trend from early 2009 and has gone parabolic in the last half of this year. It could come back to the $200 level but he can see it moving higher. Unbound volume indicates it is being accumulated.

TOP PICK

Short Chipotle / buy December puts. An earnings stock that is on fire. People line up at restaurants 2 hours before lunch and dinner.

Showing 91 to 104 of 104 entries

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Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)