Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)

34.00

+1.03 (3.12%)

as of Jun 30, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.

91 watching

Investor Insights

Jun 30, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 8 opinions in the last 12 months.

Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG-N) is currently navigating a challenging environment with a notable 25-30% decline in stock price, reflecting concerns over recent earnings that indicated a drop in same-store sales. Despite these challenges, some analysts see potential for a turnaround, provided the company can execute its strategies effectively. Management's history of making necessary adjustments and the brand's strong loyalty are positive indicators. However, rising beef prices and the perception of high menu prices pose significant hurdles. While some analysts suggest caution, others believe that aggressive store expansion and appeal to the younger demographic could position the company for future growth.

Consensus

Cautious

Valuation

Overvalued

Similar

QSR,Restaurant

DON'T BUY

It has delivered but he wouldn't buy it today since the valuation is high resulting in too high a premium. The restaurant business is cyclical.

BUY

It reports Wednesday. They've integrated robots into their operations, have a good point-of-sale and have the best menu with real value. They own their stores and it's not a franchise model. Average volumes per store keep rising.

COMMENT

Buy more before the 50-1 stock split?

He expects shareholders to receive those extra shares and feel like selling some. However, he's more concerned with the company's performance than the split. Shares will run before the split, then fall back. The split will make shares more liquid.

BUY

Is up 15% since February and 68% in the past year. They have announced a stock split. They last reported a super quarter.

BUY

Chipotle announced a 50-1 stock split

The split doesn't add an economic benefit. Many investors still don't realize that it's the same return before or after a split. He's never seen a restaurant chain carry such a premium multiple for so long, but it's deserved. They continue to beat.

BUY

Companies split shares when they're doing well, so this split validates their success, though it doesn't effect the fundamentals. The split generates excitement for the stock.

BUY

Chipotle announced a 50-1 stock split

The news is phenomenal for stockholders and employees (who become shareholders). Doubts that the split will have much effect, though it invites a new class of investor. Though it adds to trade liquidity. Customers are accepting higher prices and the company keeps introducing new products.

BUY

They reported mixed numbers after the bell: in-line same-store sales, light revenues, but a bottom-line per share earnings beat. They're making more money because of better restaurant margins as key costs finally are declining. But they guided lower same-store sales this quarter; they're being conservative. Shares were up 50% YTD going into this quarter and he thought the report was overall good.

BUY

The last quarter has seen a major improvement in revenue growth and shares now have price momentum

BUY

It reports Tuesday. They will hire 15,000 people for burrito season, so business must be great. Some say earnings estimates for this year are too expensive, but he feels they are too low.

BUY

recession-proof? Yes. In tough times, people will reward themselves with affordable meals at places like CMG. History bears this out with CMG.

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TOP PICK

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is cultivating a better world by serving responsibly sourced, classically-cooked, real food with wholesome ingredients without artificial colors, flavors or preservatives. Chipotle had over 2,700 restaurants as of September 30, 2020, in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France and Germany and is the only restaurant company of its size that owns and operates all its restaurants. With more than 94,000 employees passionate about providing a great guest experience, Chipotle is a longtime leader and innovator in the food industry. Chipotle is committed to making its food more accessible to everyone while continuing to be a brand with a demonstrated purpose as it leads the way in digital, technology and sustainable business practices. Steve Ells, founder and former executive chairman, first opened Chipotle with a single restaurant in Denver, Coloradoin 1993. Social media mentions are up 333% in the past 24h.

WAIT

Allan Tong’s Discover Picks Since I recommended it in mid-August, CMG shares have endured a choppy ride, but since its report a week ago, shares have sharply turned upward pointing to it being an oversold stock at the time. CMG stock reported that revenue was up 13.7% YOY. In-store sales were up 22.1%, better than the company’s overall growth. Digital sales accounted for 37.2% of revenues in the last quarter. Another positive is that Chipotle’s rewards program now boasts 30 million members after only 3.5 years. More good news, the price of avocados has declined and overall U.S. inflation continues to tick down as seen in recent consumer and producer numbers. If food costs continue to ease, margins should improve. Read 3 Oversold Stocks to Take Advantage of for our full analysis.

HOLD

They just reported a fine quarter, but several analysts harped that the chain is too expensive for some people after several menu price increases. Yes, there is modest market-share loss in some small towns, but same-store sales growth was up 7%. They face extreme inflation, namely for avocados, dairy and beef, so if they get a price break on any of these, their profits will jump. It's worth holding onto this just for that price inflection.

BUY

Saw a 4% product price increase in August, but with food costs easing, margins should improve. Great managers.

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Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG)