Stockchase Opinions

Mike S. Newton, CIM FCSI Chipotle Mexican Grill CMG-N TOP PICK Apr 15, 2015

An opportunity to pick up a pretty good name that has done a sideways move for some time. Millennials (generation Y) are taking to the name. The company is able to price what they want because consumers believe they are getting good value for their money and the quality is very high. Store count is around 1600 in the US, which he thinks is a very low concentration, considering what they have ahead of them. This doesn’t even consider what they are doing internationally.

$677.600

Stock price when the opinion was issued

food services
It's the ideal tool to help you make quicker, more informed decisions for managing and tracking your investments.

You might be interested:

BUY ON WEAKNESS

It reports Tuesday. Always buy on dips. Is a fine growth stock in restaurants. 

WAIT

Sells at 38x PE, so this will be down on today's tariff news, but buy it after all the tariff news.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

They reported a quarter that people didn't like, but shares still rose. This means that this company has limited tariff problems. This stock will never be cheap, but it's rarely been down this long.

SELL

He sold it. Momentum faded from a revenue slowdown. He owned it for a long time.

BUY

Stock's down due to headwinds from macro economic concerns. Very well run, operations are spotless. Still runway for growth. Great chance to buy a quality company that's been hit.

BUY

It's quality on sale, though has disappointed this year. Expects unit growth and margin to expand. 

WATCH

Is up 12.5% in 3 months. It's nonsense that their meals are too expensive. Problem is they haven't delivered two good quarters. If it does, it will break out again.

TOP PICK

Positioning appeals to a broad demographic, especially younger consumers who are more focused on quality and sustainability. Same-store sales expected to grow 6-7% this year. Brand still has pricing power. Store expansion is aggressive (300 stores this year) but disciplined. Efficiency is key to the story. 

Not cheap, but justified. Track record of execution, clean balance sheet. Reports today after the bell, and she expects a beat. No dividend.

(Analysts’ price target is $60.61)
DON'T BUY

Their food items are too expensive, with some like the steak burrito nearly doubling since 2019. Problem is, macro factors won't lower their prices anytime soon. And Wall Street doesn't like companies that reduce their prices.

BUY ON WEAKNESS

The last reported a disappointing quarter and lowered their same-store, full-year sales forecast. Is down 29% this year. Is an opportunity now.