
NYSE:CMG
This summary was created by AI, based on 8 opinions in the last 12 months.
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG-N) is currently facing a challenging environment, as noted by multiple analysts. While there are concerns related to a recent lettuce recall and rising costs impacting their food prices, the company has a strong brand loyalty and a history of successful operational adjustments. The stock has seen a significant decline of 25-30%, but analysts suggest that the market is not overly punishing it, indicating faith in a potential turnaround. Despite disappointing earnings and lowered forecasts, there is a belief in the company’s ability to recover as it continues aggressive store expansion and maintains pricing power among younger consumers focused on quality. However, the stock is considered expensive at present, suggesting caution before increasing positions.
Chart's hugging the 200-day MA, which could be an opportunity from a technical perspective. Consumer backlash about reduced portions. Worried whether same-store sales are peaking at this stage. Underperforming S&P 500 since spring. Not cheap at 48x forward PE, projected growth rate is 22%, still a 2.1 PEG ratio.
In the space, he owns MCD and QSR.
Shares are down 27% from the June 18 peak. It's an industry leader and market-share taker and the management team even without the CEO who just left for Starbucks. The Interim CEO has been there since 2017 and been involved with the integration with technology, the culture and through-put. He can maintain momentum. She also likes that they re-set numbers: same-store sales are forecast at 6% instead of 7% due to higher food costs which is still an amazing comp. Share buybacks remain solid. Earnings are growing 15-20%.
An analyst recently noted after doing research that the size of their burrito bowls varied by as much as 33% by location. This worries him, because if the people believe that CMG is shrinking their bowls, this is a tough stock to own. Wait until this controversy blows over. He gives CMG the benefit of the doubt.
He heard today that next year's growth rate won't be that high, and still shares went up today. The is doing a great job. Trading this is a sucker's game. Own it and buy more on weakness.