
NYSE:CMG
This summary was created by AI, based on 8 opinions in the last 12 months.
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG-N) has experienced a challenging year, down approximately 25-30%. Analysts noted that while the recent earnings were disappointing, with declining same-store sales, the stock did not react negatively, indicating some belief in a potential turnaround. The company's high-priced menu items, especially in light of rising beef costs, have raised concerns about affordability, which may affect future sales. Some analysts believe the stock is too expensive currently, while others see potential in the brand's loyal customer base, particularly among younger demographics, and advantageous store expansion plans. Despite current challenges, experts remain optimistic about future growth if the execution of the turnaround strategy is successful.
Chart's hugging the 200-day MA, which could be an opportunity from a technical perspective. Consumer backlash about reduced portions. Worried whether same-store sales are peaking at this stage. Underperforming S&P 500 since spring. Not cheap at 48x forward PE, projected growth rate is 22%, still a 2.1 PEG ratio.
In the space, he owns MCD and QSR.
Shares are down 27% from the June 18 peak. It's an industry leader and market-share taker and the management team even without the CEO who just left for Starbucks. The Interim CEO has been there since 2017 and been involved with the integration with technology, the culture and through-put. He can maintain momentum. She also likes that they re-set numbers: same-store sales are forecast at 6% instead of 7% due to higher food costs which is still an amazing comp. Share buybacks remain solid. Earnings are growing 15-20%.
An analyst recently noted after doing research that the size of their burrito bowls varied by as much as 33% by location. This worries him, because if the people believe that CMG is shrinking their bowls, this is a tough stock to own. Wait until this controversy blows over. He gives CMG the benefit of the doubt.
A new CEO was announced. CMG faces a challenge from Starbucks and Shake Shack. The CMG chart is sideways as capital moves out of here and into Starbucks.