Stan Wong
Chipotle Mexican Grill
CMG-N
DON'T BUY
Sep 12, 2024
Pulled back when CEO left for SBUX.
Chart's hugging the 200-day MA, which could be an opportunity from a technical perspective. Consumer backlash about reduced portions. Worried whether same-store sales are peaking at this stage. Underperforming S&P 500 since spring. Not cheap at 48x forward PE, projected growth rate is 22%, still a 2.1 PEG ratio.
They missed their same-store sales based on a very high bar. Some disappointment here because expenses were higher and will open fewer stores than announced. Hold. Fast food is a crowded space now. Where else can you go?
A new CEO was announced. CMG faces a challenge from Starbucks and Shake Shack. The CMG chart is sideways as capital moves out of here and into Starbucks.
He heard today that next year's growth rate won't be that high, and still shares went up today. The is doing a great job. Trading this is a sucker's game. Own it and buy more on weakness.
They reported a quarter that people didn't like, but shares still rose. This means that this company has limited tariff problems. This stock will never be cheap, but it's rarely been down this long.
Stock's down due to headwinds from macro economic concerns. Very well run, operations are spotless. Still runway for growth. Great chance to buy a quality company that's been hit.
Chart's hugging the 200-day MA, which could be an opportunity from a technical perspective. Consumer backlash about reduced portions. Worried whether same-store sales are peaking at this stage. Underperforming S&P 500 since spring. Not cheap at 48x forward PE, projected growth rate is 22%, still a 2.1 PEG ratio.
In the space, he owns MCD and QSR.