TSE:CJ

Cardinal Energy Ltd (CJ.TO)

10.94
-0.05 (0.45%)
as of Aug 7, 2026, 8:00:01 pm Market Open.
275 watching
0
Investor Insights
star iconAug 9, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 6 opinions in the last 12 months.

Cardinal Energy Ltd, a conventional oil producer primarily engaged in thermal assets development in Saskatchewan, has garnered a favorable reputation among analysts. Despite initial skepticism regarding the timely delivery of its projects, the company managed to hit capacity on its new plant within just four months. The stock currently trades at a reasonable valuation, with a free cash flow yield of approximately 9% at $80 WTI, and offers a dividend yield of around 6.57%. While debt levels have increased to $215 million, they are deemed manageable at 1x cash flow, indicating no significant leverage concerns. The company's ongoing development in small-scale SAGD technology expresses a positive growth outlook, although analysts suggest caution due to the high payout ratio and a relatively muted growth projection of 5% for the coming year.

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Consensus
Positive
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Valuation
Fair Value
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BNE.TO
BUY
Likes it. Mostly owned by retail investors, so he can't find an institution to buy a lot of shares from (for his fund). He price-targets $35 share price and 120% upside.
DON'T BUY
It would not be a name he would own. The number of market participants are very small. There is a certain market-cap threshold for market relevance. There is a pressure for MnA. It has higher cost, medium heavy oil company. They suspended dividends.
DON'T BUY
A small cap, medium heavy producer. Because they own older fields, operating costs are higher. Banks cut their lines by 30%. There is free cashflow and there is liquidity. However, he would look elsewhere.
DON'T BUY
Light production? It struggles for relevance in the market as a medium to medium-light oil producer. They cut the dividend to zero to de-lever. They purchased old oil fields, but with the higher operating costs and higher risk for environmental liability he would not own this.
DON'T BUY
There are a couple of knocks in terms of leverage. They have more older well bores. Management don't own enough stock.
DON'T BUY
Privatization possibility? He is not surprised privatizations have not happened already in the space. He suggests taking a tax loss and roll into a better oil producer. The demand for the small cap names is just too small right now.
BUY ON WEAKNESS
It is one of those oil producers that was a dividend oil producing company. They are using cash flow to pay down debt. They are out of favour but take advantage of tax loss selling.
COMMENT
Is the yield safe? Pays 7.9%. One of his few oil stocks. We're at the bottom of the oil cycle, though who knows for how long? CJ has a low decline rate and are buying back lots of share. The yield is safe at current oil prices and will move up or down with oil prices.
PARTIAL BUY
They are a formal dividend model. They cut the dividend as prices came down. They produce mainly oil. Debt is 26% of equity. They have been using cash flow to pay down debt. The financial statements look good. He thinks in the future they will go up, but in the near term they may come off. Only buy a little bit her.
PAST TOP PICK
(A Top Pick Sep 28/18, Down 55%) Typical for the sector as a whole. He continues to hold onto it.
DON'T BUY
Challenging. A price-taker. Along with the others, has had a negative return. Instead, something like a CN makes more sense, as it's a proxy play on oil.
WAIT
A more levered up energy company. It has become historically cheap. Trades at 0.4 times book. He needs to see price momentum turn before getting in.
HOLD
A small-cap heavy oil producer that has done well. For a large institutional buyer, there is just not enough liquidity. They did increase the dividend and they are buying back stock. Yield 5.8%
HOLD
The basing in the stock price is similar with the energy sector as a whole. He sees a potential back to $4-$5. He does not see much correlation with the underlying commodity price.
DON'T BUY
Is a light and medium oil producer. This was a $15 stock 5 years ago. It is very cheap. Their dividend is very sustainable at $57-60 oil values. It is undervalued but there may be other opportunities elsewhere. It is an example of how the small cap companies are challenged in Canada. You probably want to invest where the money is going to go first which is not this name.
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