Cineplex IncCGX.TOHOLDOct 03, 2017Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
He bought it during Covid, but he's still waiting for its rebound. Q3 and Q4 had disappointing box office. Q1 is better, though, with a strong December 2025. The Blue Jays' playoff run last October hurt their box office. Also, their CEO will retire at the end of the year; CGX could be sold before he goes.
Chart hasn't always been as ugly as it's been recently. Used to be a stock market darling. Disagrees that streaming will demolish it.
Real catalyst is a huge bonus to the retiring CEO and other management if they sell the business by end of 2026. There has to be a bid for the company by the end of June 2026. Risk/return is fantastic. His valuation of the company remains $34. No dividend.
Well managed. With NFLX, video on demand, and the changing landscape of movies, it's not the same company it used to be. Could be more assets to divest, and could capitalize on real estate. Still, not sure what next move is. Look to exit.
As to what to move to, though it depends what's already in your portfolio, he still really likes energy infrastructure companies. See his Top Picks for some ideas.
It was a darling, a great business years ago that generated tons of free cash flow. He once owned it. Then, it was supposed to be bought, but bad luck saw Covid hit and the deal died. Great management and still a good business that generates cash, but times have changed--there are many streaming services. They are paying down debt, which is a little high.
Trying to diversify. Q4 was steady, improving box office, strong roster of movies. Showing more dependable FCF. Tough stock in a tough industry. Very cheap at 9x 2026. Hasn't had steady earnings for years. Can have a good run when movie slate is strong.
Buy at $6-7, sell on strength. Dividend probably not coming back.
Not your highest-quality play. Trying to get approval to extend debt schedule. If approved, will add flexibility and improve free cashflows. If all goes well, may be able to reinstate dividend. But a lot has to go right. Pricey at 27x. High risk, but now would be the time to allocate some capital. A lot of the bad news is already out.
Don't own in a registered account, as you want to take capital losses if you're wrong.
Has always admired management. It’s important to understand that they don’t make movies, so if Hollywood makes lousy movies that no one wants to see, this company suffers. They have figured out something to do about this and have basically diversified their revenue. Created Rec rooms, which are basically man caves for millennials with a bar and a restaurant and a lot of great games to play. They’ve been brilliant in establishing new revenue lines. However, at the end of the day, people have to go to the movies and they have to be good movies. He is looking for a very strong 4th quarter with strong new releases. Dividend yield of over 4%.