Cameco CorporationCCO.TOPARTIAL BUYNov 12, 2025Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 05, 2026. Market Open.
He owns some bonds, but hasn't pulled the trigger on the equity. Disconnect between a 10-year horizon for contracts and the current spot price for uranium. Spot price won't be showing up in the profitability.
If you've made money, well done. Remember that commodities tend to overshoot in either direction. Don't add at these levels.
Beat last quarter, but guidance was a bit lower. Very attractive, multi-year outlook, but don't add here. About 40% growth, but trading ~75x PE for 2027. Ironically, a real risk to this name is if peace comes to the Ukraine-Russia war.
You have to have respect for stock prices at both ends of the extreme.
Caught momentum from nuclear reinvigoration globally -- key driver for that `is AI demand. By far, nuclear is the most stable and cost-effective. However, building out reactors is not easy (not to mention regulatory hurdles).
Strong underlying trends with demand for uranium. Great name. Another, but safer, way to play indirectly is with ATRL.
CCO is not perfect but if an investor is looking for general exposure in a relatively safe company we would still prefer it today over smaller companies with less profitability.
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CCO is a large-scale uranium producer and part of the nuclear supply chain, which is gaining support under the 'clean baseload power' and infrastructure transition narrative. We think it has some tailwinds from the AI and infrastructure angle, momentum has been great, and forward earnings estimates are trending higher. It trades at a premium valuation of 74X forward earnings, but margins have been reaccelerating and its free cash flow growth has been significant. We think it looks interesting here.
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