Cameco CorporationCCO.TOCOMMENTOct 26, 2016Stock price when the opinion was issued
As of Jun 25, 2026. Market Open.
It goes back to the fact that there's been some profit-taking over the past month or so. Still up 50% over last 12 months. Long-term, clean-energy/renewable theme makes a lot of sense. Fallen to around the 200-day MA, still pretty attractive from a technical perspective with its higher highs and higher lows.
He owns some bonds, but hasn't pulled the trigger on the equity. Disconnect between a 10-year horizon for contracts and the current spot price for uranium. Spot price won't be showing up in the profitability.
If you've made money, well done. Remember that commodities tend to overshoot in either direction. Don't add at these levels.
Beat last quarter, but guidance was a bit lower. Very attractive, multi-year outlook, but don't add here. About 40% growth, but trading ~75x PE for 2027. Ironically, a real risk to this name is if peace comes to the Ukraine-Russia war.
You have to have respect for stock prices at both ends of the extreme.
Will the lawsuit by the tax authorities create an opportunity for a long-term hold? For the last year or 2, the uranium spot price has been coming down. When you factor in the CRA dispute ($2 billion) it is hard for them to gain momentum. The spot price is currently threatening to drop below $10. Uranium spot prices are at their lowest level since 2005, and there is an oversupply in the market. Prices could go lower and he doesn’t see any catalyst for the company. If the CRA dispute goes away, that might be a catalyst, but it probably won’t finish until spring, so you probably have a good year in which to find a good entry point.