NYSE:CAT

Caterpillar (CAT)

1,057.01
+62.56 (6.29%)
as of Jun 25, 2026, 8:00:00 pm Market Open.
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Investor Insights
star iconJun 25, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 31 opinions in the last 12 months.

Caterpillar (CAT) has been a popular choice among experts, primarily due to its robust earnings growth and significant backlog of orders, reportedly exceeding $60 billion. While many express optimism regarding its potential in the infrastructure and data center segments driven by trends like AI and energy demand, concerns about its current P/E ratio, which has risen considerably to 32-36x, have led some to take profits or warn against buying at this level. The stock has seen hefty appreciation in 2023, with reports of increases around 140% for some investors, indicating both excitement and caution about its overheated status. Overall, CAT is viewed as a strong play on global infrastructure but analysts suggest caution regarding its valuation and the cyclical nature of the industrial sector.

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Consensus
Positive
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Valuation
Overvalued
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Deere,DE
TOP PICK
Even though they beat last quarter, they did not give guidance for 2021. Beneficiary of some inflation and stronger margins for customers. Setting up to under promise and over deliver. Pricing power is growing. Leverage is being underestimated by investors. The valuation makes sense with 20% EPS growth but trades at 21x 2022. (Analysts’ price target is $243.52)
BUY
Scarcity value is working for these stocks. On top of that, industrial stocks like this they belong in the S&P, so they benefit from automatic buying from ETFs. Conversely, there a lot of shares and stocks in the high-flying tech sector which are being sold off these days. CAT has been buying back a lot of its shares, adding to more share scarcity.
BUY

Classic stock for this kind of environment. Leadership in the recovery includes industrials and basic materials, which covers CAT. Would be one of the biggest winners from the infrastructure bill. The work in Texas alone is huge. He'd buy it right here. He also owns DE.

BUY
Management have really turned this around. The last quarter was merely okay, but CAT has a lot of oil exposure and the price of oil keeps surging due to a better world economy and president unfriendly to new oil drilling which in turn limits new supply.
WEAK BUY

CAT vs. TIH A little expensive. If the US dollar continues to fall, commodity prices have started to rise, so that should increase demand. Trades at 25x, starting to break out. Nothing wrong with anybody buying it. His choice is Toromont, which has higher dividend growth and better price performance.

BUY
They report next week. The stock will rise even if they report weak numbers, because expectations for infrastructure spending and better relations with China are so high. He admits he missed this rally.
BUY
There are few industrial stocks. CAT can go to $200. He prefers John Deere though.
HOLD
It had a rough day today, but CAT will do well under Biden because Biden will ease off on the US-China trade war. This will allow China to buy CAT equipment as a sign of good faith. CAT also has good managers.
BUY
Some feel the stock has run too much, but he feels it's a teflon stock. CAT will benefit from better relations with China, if Biden wins. You can hedge your bets by buying before and after they report Tuesday.
BUY

If there's a Blue Sweep on Nov. 3, the Dems will produce an infrastructure package and industrial names like this benefit. This, plus 3M, Otis and Emerson, will benefit from the end of the US-China trade. However, Caterpillar will thrive under either Biden or Trump.

DON'T BUY
It is not a long term hold. He does not think of it as infrastructure. There is no long term asset at the end of a project.
HOLD
A bell weather cyclical stock. He doesn't expect to see strong global economic growth, but steady and plodding. Consumer spending is driving the global economy, so this may not have enough to propel it much higher.
BUY

A uber-cyclical stock into mining, roads, forestry, etc. The price of copper has broken out to the upside, which may be a signal for higher commodity prices and for this stock. He would consider buying here.

DON'T BUY
It's too early to buy this. The trade war needs to be resolved, since China is so important to CAT. He doesn't own CAT because of its cyclical nature.
DON'T BUY
Make heavy equipment. Decelerating demand. Too cyclical to buy for where we are in the cycle. Very well managed.
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