Caterpillar (CAT)

Tripped up a bit in execution and management. Prefers, and owns, URI. URI has been more successful in terms of growth of revenues, earnings, cashflow. 15% of a portfolio is too high, 2-4% is more normal. Trim and diversify.

It reports Monday. Orders for infrastructure and data centres have been huge. This stock is crushing the short-sellers. Is up nearly 100 points since its last quarter.

Yesterday, sold it because CAT moved up a lot in sympathy with United Rentals. They sharp rally changed the risk/reward.

Will benefit from governemtn infrastructure spending. Likes it.

A quality company, but their PE is misleading. Looks cheap, but is highly sensitive to cyclicality. Will buy it one day, not now.

Just bought it after they delivered a blow-out quarter last time (report next week) with top and bottom line beats. Good dividend growth. He believes in infrastructure long term. Bought this before earnings to start building a position.

Doesn't see a major recession, and so sees major upside here. They crushed their last quarter. He just bought it on a pullback, will buy again and hold for the long term.

They were viewed as a play on China. Given China's collapse, CAT stock should have tanked and shorters piled into this. But the CEO countered that CAT is more levered to data centres, which helped to sway the street. Still trades at 13x PE. Was up 11% in Q3. CAT has more room to run.

Prefers Caterpillar over John Deere.
Growth in infrastructure spending good for industrial nature of company.
Company subject to broad economic trends.
Good long term investment. 

Revenue is starting to increase, plus positive momentum.

He bought it this week. CAT covers industrials from mining to energy and rails.They delivered one of the best quarterly earnings, then broke to new highs. This plays into the rotation theme in which he favours industrials, healthcare and energy in the second half of this year, though not tech.

Just reported a strong earnings beat and their quarter defied concerns of a global slowdown. Shares rallied to an all-time high. CAT makes machines to non-residential construction, mining, oil/gas and data centre construction--all sectors doing well. Also, Washington is creating tons of jobs in infrastructure. CAT's sell-off was unwarranted in the first place. The CEO is making CAT less cyclical, and he foresaw the weakness in China.

They diversified away from China. CAT will benefit from federal infrastructure spending that will boost their orders. Also, when investors feel that US-China relationships are improving, they buy CAT. He sold some shares today. Has rallied since last May. Is now seeing money from the Infrastructure Bill of late 2021. Trades at 13x PE 2023.

Rallied last Friday. The CEO has diversified the services offered, but shares have slumped. Wall Street views it as an old-fashioned cyclical stock, which is wrong. He expects a lot of orders for infrastructure projects by next year. Shares have bumped because of China's stimulus plans, but China represents only 5% of CAT's business.

Great company. Given the debt ceiling talks, CAT can go lower in the next 4-5 days.