Baytex Energy Corp (BTE.TO) Buy, Sell or Hold

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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE.TO)

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5.55

-0.28 (4.80%)

as of Jun 24, 2026, 8:00:01 pm Market Open.

733 watching

Investor Insights

Jun 24, 2026, 12:00 am

This summary was created by AI, based on 21 opinions in the last 12 months.

Baytex Energy Corp (BTE-T) has garnered mixed reviews from various experts, reflecting a nuanced outlook on its performance and future potential. The company has made significant strides in improving its balance sheet, particularly through its divestiture of US assets, which has positioned it to focus more effectively on Canadian operations. While there are positive sentiments regarding its operational efficiencies and potential for share buybacks, concerns about inventory depth and overall market volatility remain prevalent. The current oil price environment, influenced by geopolitical factors, is seen as a critical determinant for Baytex's trajectory, with some experts emphasizing the potential for a strong rebound once production bottlenecks are resolved. Overall, while there is cautious optimism about its prospects, several analysts suggest remaining vigilant due to ongoing uncertainties in the oil market.

Consensus

Mixed

Valuation

Fair Value

Similar

CVE, Cenovus

TOP PICK

It has under-performed the oil price by 60%. It is higher than a 20% free cash flow yield. They plan to harvest free cash flow to pay down debt. He hopes they will then buy back stock. (Analysts’ price target is $2.97)

BUY

Oil 2020 outlook He's bullish oil, given OPEC production cuts. The perception of BTE is heavily levered, heavy oil, but they actually have 60% production in Permian light oil. The balance sheet is much better now after paying down debt, dropping to 2x debt-to-cash flow. They could buyback shares. He's added to this recently. Tax-loss selling and the flight of capital have pressured oil stocks. He expects a bounce to come, but doesn't know when. Eventually, rationality comes to markets. Oil stocks boasts 20% free cash flow yield--you should make money on these at some point. When, he doesn't know, but the situation looks better now.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Nov 16/18, Down 38%) Multiples have contracted to 3 times cash flow. It is not that their cash flow has shrunk, it is just that investors are not willing to pay historical values. It has lost some of its credibility. It trades at 17% free cash flow yield at $55 oil. The company has 4 years of reserves that are currently flowing. Their holding in the Duvernay, is a commanding position. A large holding for him.

COMMENT

The valuation has gotten so low. Baytex has a lot of Permian oil investments which is good. Debt has come down to 1.5 times. Balance sheet is in much better shape. They are generating free cashflow and can buy back stocks now. 15-20% yield at current oil prices. A lot of the sector looks like this due to supply and demand. Energy stocks are cheap and valuations are ridiculously low. He still likes it, but it hasn't made any money in the last year. (Analysts’ price target is $3.29)

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Oct 19/18, Down 43%) He still owns this and added yesterday. He was uber bullish oil last year as Iran was about to face export constraints (they were later waived by the US). They have interest in the Eagle Ford and one of the biggest plays in the Duvernay Shale in Canada. The new production is very economic at today's WTI price levels. They could soon see big share buybacks as cash flow improves.

BUY

Heavy oil? He is bullish on heavy oil as countries like Venezuela have seen production fall to 20 year lows. Mexico is declining as well. This is good for Canada, but we are still pipeline constrained. At $60 WTI and $15 heavy oil differentials he likes CVE-T, MEG-T and BTE-T.

TRADE

He stock now is so cheap that he is not longer in the sell camp. It will service debt with a lot of cash flow if we hit $70 oil as he thinks we will.

COMMENT

They are rationalizing the management structure given their debt after acquiring Raging River. They are trying to get more into light oil. A recession would cause oil prices to fall and with it the stock price.

TOP PICK

Baytex bond: 6.625% 2022 It's their bond, paying a 6.625% rate of return. They own Eaglesford, a Texas shale asset, that could cover this entire bond if BTE ever went into receivership. BTE won't and in fact is doing well. BTE stock is too volatile. The bond is good for conservative investors.

RISKY

It may be slightly lower in reputation compared to his other holdings. It is very low valued and he thinks they have fixed the balance sheet. Ten years ago it traded almost $60 per share. They added leverage when oil prices were high and made a large US acquisition at the wrong time. The stock will never return to those lofty levels, it may get back to $4-$5 -- still a great return. A little bit riskier this could be a speculative buy. Yield 0%

RISKY

Their balance sheet has been slipping for the last five years. It trades at 40% of book value. It has a little bit of upside potential. A war in the Middle East would help this stock significantly. Overall, we need better oil and gas pricing on a sustained level.

TOP PICK

Had to throw an energy stock in, because they're so cheap. Paid down debt. About 60% of production gets a premium price. No dividend. (Analysts’ price target is $3.55)

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Aug 17/18, Down 53%) It's still a core holding, even though it's trading at a 32% free cash flow yield at $60/barrel. It's trading at a third of its historic multiple. And yet this year they're drilling their best holes and unlocked a key shale play. He's confident they'll use their free cash flow to buy back lots of shares.

DON'T BUY

For TFSA? BTE is the poster child of beaten-up Canadian oil stocks. They have a great asset in the U.S. They have both good and bad, but BTE will move with the oil price which is weak now, but will probably go higher in 20201. But BTE still carries a lot of debt. Not the ideal stock in this sector.

PAST TOP PICK

(A Top Pick Jul 20/18, Down 58%) It remains a core holding, but it's fallen off the radar of investors. Investors aren't buying Canadian oil. Trades at 30% free cash flow yield. He expects 2x debt-to-cash flow in the second half of 2019. By then, they should heavily buyback shares.

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Baytex Energy Corp (BTE.TO)